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Trader

0xa8ae9f8f2a92cb27a73791bb816e65071ca38eb7
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$128
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-21.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
90%
9W / 1L
Win Return (30d)
90%
9W / 1L
Trades (30d)
10
across 3 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$42.58
avg win $36 · loss $200
Profit Factor
0.36
$72 won / $200 lost
Reward / Risk
0.18
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $7,774 · all-time $344,715

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 59.5% 50W/34L 50 $32,766
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/2L 4 $449
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/2L 4 $530
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/1L 1 $13
🤖 Tech 1 $330
🎬 Culture 1 $330
🔬 Science 1 $330

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

17 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Iran full airspace closure by August 15? No 3,595 0.940 $3,378.90 $582.81 +20.8%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No 1,000 0.635 $635.00 $-84.85 -11.8%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? Yes 1,241 0.305 $378.44 $78.44 +26.1%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? No 594 0.521 $309.38 $-10.62 -3.3%
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 400 0.700 $280.00 $-24.00 -7.9%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? No 829 0.305 $252.72 $-263.99 -51.1%
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy explode? No 1,608 0.125 $200.99 $-129.00 -39.1%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? Yes 1,004 0.200 $200.27 $100.27 +100.3%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 800 0.209 $167.60 $-40.40 -19.4%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 1,000 0.135 $134.50 $-7.50 -5.3%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes 770 0.165 $126.97 $-144.43 -53.2%
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open? Yes 210 0.585 $122.85 $53.93 +78.2%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 800 0.143 $114.80 $36.15 +46.0%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 178 0.515 $91.63 $15.12 +19.8%
Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? Yes 1,158 0.025 $29.41 $-20.59 -41.2%
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? Yes 300 0.015 $4.65 $-25.35 -84.5%
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 30 0.025 $0.73 $-1.36 -65.0%