fuckpm
0xa8214a76e24da3bd037763b5d76216c33ca00bc8
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$8
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$91
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
33%
23W / 46L · 56 open
Win Return (30d)
25%
23W / 70L · 32 open
Trades (30d)
125
across 16 markets · ~8 per market
EV / position
−$1.15
avg win $17 · loss $25
Profit Factor
0.89
$68 won / $76 lost
Reward / Risk
0.67
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$45
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $4,578 · all-time $464,976
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
9 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? |
No |
400 |
0.645 |
$258.00 |
$-74.00 |
-22.3% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
168 |
0.925 |
$155.28 |
$7.47 |
+5.1% |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? |
No |
200 |
0.705 |
$141.00 |
$5.00 |
+3.7% |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? |
No |
200 |
0.375 |
$75.00 |
$-1.00 |
-1.3% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
Yes |
200 |
0.285 |
$56.98 |
$-7.02 |
-11.0% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
54 |
0.883 |
$47.73 |
$-0.08 |
-0.2% |
| Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? |
Yes |
196 |
0.233 |
$45.68 |
$-21.17 |
-31.7% |
| Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? |
No |
200 |
0.145 |
$29.00 |
$-27.00 |
-48.2% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.114 |
$22.70 |
$-13.50 |
-37.3% |