fuckpm
0xa8214a76e24da3bd037763b5d76216c33ca00bc8
PnL (30d)
−$810
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$197
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-1.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
53%
748W / 661L · 377 open
Win Return (30d)
54%
890W / 765L · 131 open
Trades (30d)
1,786
across 154 markets · ~12 per market
EV / position
−$7.43
avg win $13 · loss $41
Profit Factor
0.53
$904 won / $1,714 lost
Reward / Risk
0.33
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$45
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $4,378 · all-time $464,776
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
10 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? |
No |
400 |
0.645 |
$258.00 |
$-74.00 |
-22.3% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
168 |
0.927 |
$155.62 |
$7.80 |
+5.3% |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? |
No |
200 |
0.705 |
$141.00 |
$5.00 |
+3.7% |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? |
No |
200 |
0.375 |
$75.00 |
$-1.00 |
-1.3% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
Yes |
200 |
0.285 |
$56.98 |
$-7.02 |
-11.0% |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
200 |
0.277 |
$55.30 |
$-1.70 |
-3.0% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
54 |
0.883 |
$47.73 |
$-0.08 |
-0.2% |
| Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? |
Yes |
196 |
0.232 |
$45.49 |
$-21.37 |
-32.0% |
| Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? |
No |
200 |
0.145 |
$29.00 |
$-27.00 |
-48.2% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.114 |
$22.70 |
$-13.50 |
-37.3% |