PnL (30d)

+$72

Economy · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$65

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+5.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

95%

18W / 1L · 15 open

Win Return (30d)

97%

33W / 1L

Trades (30d)

34

across 7 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

+$17.88

avg win $26 · loss $5

Profit Factor

15.30

$77 won / $5 lost

Reward / Risk

5.10

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	49.3% 110W/113L	56	$88,085
🏛 Politics	—	4	$408
₿ Crypto	100.0% 1W/0L	3	$270
💵 Economy	100.0% 1W/0L	3	$270
🌤 Weather	100.0% 7W/0L	1	$66

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

12 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	No	3,734	0.205	$765.56	$-2,196.63	-74.2%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	2,172	0.278	$602.65	$47.70	+8.6%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	1,989	0.114	$225.74	$-1,006.09	-81.7%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	1,020	0.130	$132.60	$-91.80	-40.9%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	970	0.075	$72.75	$-104.15	-58.9%
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	182	0.335	$61.08	$-69.67	-53.3%
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	Yes	670	0.085	$56.95	$-23.45	-29.2%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	300	0.185	$55.50	$-19.50	-26.0%
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	Yes	236	0.220	$51.86	$-42.43	-45.0%
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	30	0.725	$21.75	$0.75	+3.6%
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	Yes	10	0.260	$2.60	$0.10	+4.0%
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?	No	2	0.975	$2.04	$0.20	+10.7%