| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
3,734 |
0.215 |
$802.91 |
$-2,159.28 |
-72.9% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
2,172 |
0.278 |
$602.65 |
$47.70 |
+8.6% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
No |
1,989 |
0.114 |
$225.74 |
$-1,006.09 |
-81.7% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? |
Yes |
1,020 |
0.160 |
$163.20 |
$-61.20 |
-27.3% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
Yes |
970 |
0.080 |
$77.60 |
$-99.30 |
-56.1% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? |
No |
300 |
0.210 |
$63.00 |
$-12.00 |
-16.0% |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
182 |
0.330 |
$60.17 |
$-70.58 |
-54.0% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
670 |
0.085 |
$56.95 |
$-23.45 |
-29.2% |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30? |
Yes |
236 |
0.215 |
$50.68 |
$-43.61 |
-46.2% |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T? |
Yes |
30 |
0.725 |
$21.75 |
$0.75 |
+3.6% |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026? |
Yes |
10 |
0.265 |
$2.65 |
$0.15 |
+6.0% |
| Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? |
No |
2 |
0.975 |
$2.04 |
$0.20 |
+10.7% |