| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
3,734 |
0.215 |
$802.91 |
$-2,159.28 |
-72.9% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
2,172 |
0.278 |
$602.65 |
$47.70 |
+8.6% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
No |
1,989 |
0.114 |
$225.74 |
$-1,006.09 |
-81.7% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? |
Yes |
1,020 |
0.150 |
$153.00 |
$-71.40 |
-31.8% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
Yes |
970 |
0.070 |
$67.90 |
$-109.00 |
-61.6% |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
182 |
0.335 |
$61.08 |
$-69.67 |
-53.3% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? |
No |
300 |
0.195 |
$58.50 |
$-16.50 |
-22.0% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
670 |
0.085 |
$56.95 |
$-23.45 |
-29.2% |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30? |
Yes |
236 |
0.230 |
$54.21 |
$-40.07 |
-42.5% |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T? |
Yes |
30 |
0.725 |
$21.75 |
$0.75 |
+3.6% |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026? |
Yes |
10 |
0.260 |
$2.60 |
$0.10 |
+4.0% |
| Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? |
No |
2 |
0.975 |
$2.04 |
$0.20 |
+10.7% |