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Trader leaderboard/NixNov008

NixNov008

0xa5303c3d6321892667739ea611f2f6cb8a5188f6
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$19
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$0
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
95%
279W / 16L · 45 open
Win Return (30d)
95%
284W / 16L · 40 open
Trades (30d)
340
across 288 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
+$0.07
avg win $0 · loss $7
Profit Factor
1.55
$53 won / $35 lost
Reward / Risk
0.03
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$30
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $13,638 · all-time $761,376

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 76.9% 2,133W/639L 1678 $75,139
⚽ Sports 74.5% 269W/92L 166 $3,754
🌤 Weather 94.5% 103W/6L 107 $3,762
🏛 Politics 58.0% 51W/37L 23 $6,975
🎬 Culture 59.3% 51W/35L 19 $6,829
🤖 Tech 0.0% 0W/3L 2 $184

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

39 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? No 400 0.984 $393.40 $16.41 +4.4%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? No 300 0.975 $292.50 $0.38 +0.1%
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? No 200 0.993 $198.59 $2.71 +1.4%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? No 200 0.975 $194.90 $-0.55 -0.3%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? No 200 0.786 $157.28 $-26.73 -14.5%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? No 150 0.931 $139.72 $-1.14 -0.8%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? No 75 0.945 $70.88 $0.12 +0.2%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? No 70 0.996 $69.69 $1.23 +1.8%
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? Yes 70 0.987 $69.06 $3.12 +4.7%
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? Yes 45 0.956 $43.01 $-1.15 -2.6%
Kash Patel out by September 30? No 40 0.940 $37.60 $1.20 +3.3%
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Galions (BO1) - LFL Regular Season Galions 35 1.000 $34.98 $7.08 +25.4%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? No 35 0.977 $34.18 $1.28 +3.9%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes 35 0.935 $32.73 $-0.17 -0.5%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 38°C on August 5? No 31 1.000 $30.60 $0.60 +2.0%
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 5? No 30 1.000 $30.11 $0.11 +0.4%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 39°C on August 5? No 30 1.000 $30.04 $0.04 +0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or higher on August 5? No 30 1.000 $30.02 $0.01 +0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on August 5? No 30 1.000 $30.02 $0.01 +0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on August 5? No 30 1.000 $30.01 $0.01 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on August 5? No 30 1.000 $30.01 $0.01 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 40°C on August 5? No 30 1.000 $30.01 $0.01 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 5? No 30 1.000 $30.01 $0.01 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on August 5? No 30 1.000 $30.01 $0.01 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on August 5? No 30 1.000 $30.01 $0.01 +0.0%