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Trader leaderboard/NixNov008

NixNov008

0xa5303c3d6321892667739ea611f2f6cb8a5188f6
PnL (30d)
−$1,231
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$4
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-2.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
77%
2,105W / 634L · 153 open
Win Return (30d)
76%
2,136W / 658L · 98 open
Trades (30d)
2,892
across 1,626 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$0.80
avg win $1 · loss $15
Profit Factor
0.56
$1,550 won / $2,782 lost
Reward / Risk
0.07
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$755
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $12,549 · all-time $760,196

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 76.9% 2,105W/634L 1626 $73,436
⚽ Sports 73.7% 275W/98L 174 $3,875
🌤 Weather 93.3% 111W/8L 112 $3,897
🏛 Politics 58.4% 52W/37L 21 $6,245
🎬 Culture 59.8% 52W/35L 17 $6,099
🤖 Tech 0.0% 0W/4L 3 $219

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

28 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? No 400 0.979 $391.60 $14.61 +3.9%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? No 275 0.973 $267.44 $-0.39 -0.1%
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? No 200 0.993 $198.49 $2.61 +1.3%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? No 200 0.975 $194.90 $-0.55 -0.3%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? No 162 0.999 $162.26 $6.02 +3.9%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? No 100 0.821 $82.04 $-13.68 -14.3%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? No 75 0.940 $70.50 $-0.25 -0.4%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? No 70 0.994 $69.55 $1.08 +1.6%
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? Yes 70 0.987 $69.06 $3.12 +4.7%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? No 50 0.918 $45.92 $-1.16 -2.5%
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? Yes 45 0.958 $43.12 $-1.04 -2.3%
Kash Patel out by September 30? No 40 0.940 $37.60 $1.20 +3.3%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? No 35 0.982 $34.35 $1.45 +4.4%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes 35 0.935 $32.73 $-0.17 -0.5%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 5? No 30 1.000 $30.29 $0.29 +1.0%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 5? No 30 1.000 $30.09 $0.10 +0.3%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 5? No 30 1.000 $30.05 $0.05 +0.2%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 39°C or higher on August 5? No 30 1.000 $30.04 $0.04 +0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 5? No 30 1.000 $30.01 $0.01 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or higher on August 5? No 30 0.999 $29.98 $-0.01 -0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on August 5? No 30 0.995 $29.86 $-0.14 -0.5%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? No 35 0.835 $29.23 $-3.33 -10.2%
Kash Patel out by December 31? No 35 0.790 $27.65 $2.80 +11.3%
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winner Team Resilience 15 1.000 $14.99 $1.49 +11.1%
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? No 10 0.998 $9.98 $0.08 +0.8%