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Trader leaderboard/NixNov008

NixNov008

0xa5303c3d6321892667739ea611f2f6cb8a5188f6
Scoped to Tech — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$95
Tech · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-35.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
44%
12W / 15L
Win Return (30d)
44%
12W / 15L
Trades (30d)
27
across 8 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$11.83
avg win $2 · loss $25
Profit Factor
0.07
$7 won / $102 lost
Reward / Risk
0.07
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$2
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $12,670 · all-time $760,408

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 76.9% 2,105W/634L 1626 $73,436
⚽ Sports 74.7% 260W/88L 158 $3,679
🌤 Weather 94.4% 102W/6L 101 $3,582
🏛 Politics 58.0% 51W/37L 21 $6,222
🎬 Culture 59.3% 51W/35L 17 $6,076
🤖 Tech 0.0% 0W/3L 2 $184

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

35 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? No 400 0.983 $393.00 $16.01 +4.2%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? No 275 0.972 $267.16 $-0.66 -0.2%
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? No 200 0.993 $198.49 $2.61 +1.3%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? No 200 0.975 $195.00 $-0.45 -0.2%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? No 162 1.000 $162.42 $6.18 +4.0%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? No 100 0.816 $81.58 $-14.14 -14.8%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? No 75 0.940 $70.50 $-0.25 -0.4%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? No 70 0.994 $69.55 $1.08 +1.6%
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? Yes 70 0.987 $69.06 $3.12 +4.7%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? No 50 0.921 $46.05 $-1.04 -2.2%
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? Yes 45 0.958 $43.12 $-1.04 -2.3%
Kash Patel out by September 30? No 40 0.940 $37.60 $1.20 +3.3%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? No 35 0.983 $34.39 $1.49 +4.5%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes 35 0.935 $32.73 $-0.17 -0.5%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 5? No 30 1.000 $30.29 $0.29 +1.0%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 5? No 30 1.000 $30.09 $0.10 +0.3%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 5? No 30 1.000 $30.05 $0.05 +0.2%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 39°C or higher on August 5? No 30 1.000 $30.04 $0.04 +0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or higher on August 5? No 30 1.000 $30.02 $0.01 +0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on August 5? No 30 1.000 $30.01 $0.01 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 5? No 30 1.000 $30.01 $0.01 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 5? No 30 0.999 $29.98 $-0.01 -0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 5? No 30 0.999 $29.98 $-0.01 -0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on August 5? No 30 0.996 $29.91 $-0.09 -0.3%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on August 5? No 30 0.996 $29.91 $-0.09 -0.3%