| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? |
No |
10,400 |
0.935 |
$9,724.00 |
$4,524.00 |
+87.0% |
| Will Nigel Farage get second place in the Clacton by-election? |
No |
4,925 |
0.989 |
$4,870.82 |
$221.62 |
+4.8% |
| Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? |
Yes |
4,928 |
0.966 |
$4,760.27 |
$778.32 |
+19.5% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
4,836 |
0.850 |
$4,108.31 |
$705.98 |
+20.7% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Yes |
4,186 |
0.823 |
$3,444.81 |
$351.60 |
+11.4% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
2,700 |
0.997 |
$2,690.55 |
$129.85 |
+5.1% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
2,200 |
0.845 |
$1,859.00 |
$313.00 |
+20.2% |
| Will Nigel Farage up his vote share in Clacton? |
Yes |
1,622 |
0.991 |
$1,607.41 |
$160.63 |
+11.1% |
| Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 10,000-20,000? |
No |
1,397 |
0.929 |
$1,297.54 |
$21.45 |
+1.7% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%? |
No |
1,105 |
0.852 |
$941.23 |
$-0.26 |
-0.0% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.885 |
$885.00 |
$65.00 |
+7.9% |
| Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
Yes |
866 |
0.954 |
$825.68 |
$89.63 |
+12.2% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
1,191 |
0.675 |
$803.93 |
$136.97 |
+20.5% |
| Will Nigel Farage win 50–60% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
No |
850 |
0.940 |
$799.00 |
$34.00 |
+4.4% |
| Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
No |
821 |
0.935 |
$767.73 |
$41.35 |
+5.7% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? |
Yes |
10,400 |
0.065 |
$676.00 |
$-4,524.00 |
-87.0% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? |
Yes |
741 |
0.805 |
$597.03 |
$48.72 |
+8.9% |
| Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
Yes |
1,307 |
0.414 |
$541.61 |
$-97.50 |
-15.3% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
No |
542 |
0.855 |
$463.51 |
$73.19 |
+18.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
280 |
0.835 |
$233.80 |
$4.20 |
+1.8% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
450 |
0.512 |
$230.40 |
$3.15 |
+1.4% |
| Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 20,000-30,000? |
Yes |
304 |
0.710 |
$215.84 |
$9.12 |
+4.4% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
247 |
0.775 |
$191.65 |
$69.37 |
+56.7% |
| Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
Yes |
330 |
0.325 |
$107.25 |
$4.95 |
+4.8% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
10 |
0.465 |
$4.65 |
$-1.35 |
-22.5% |