| US recession by end of 2026? |
No |
256 |
0.910 |
$233.22 |
$41.01 |
+21.3% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027? |
Yes |
128 |
0.565 |
$72.41 |
$46.46 |
+179.0% |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in August? |
Yes |
120 |
0.370 |
$44.40 |
$26.00 |
+141.3% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? |
Yes |
100 |
0.215 |
$21.50 |
$-18.50 |
-46.2% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August? |
No |
50 |
0.425 |
$21.25 |
$-4.75 |
-18.3% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
Yes |
100 |
0.155 |
$15.50 |
$-17.50 |
-53.0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
Yes |
60 |
0.255 |
$15.30 |
$-0.90 |
-5.6% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.114 |
$11.35 |
$-18.95 |
-62.5% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
Yes |
291 |
0.037 |
$10.91 |
$-21.09 |
-65.9% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in August? |
Yes |
10 |
0.915 |
$9.15 |
$7.15 |
+357.5% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 |
No |
50 |
0.180 |
$9.00 |
$-1.00 |
-10.0% |
| Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31? |
Yes |
40 |
0.215 |
$8.60 |
$-2.60 |
-23.2% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
Yes |
60 |
0.125 |
$7.50 |
$-2.70 |
-26.5% |
| Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? |
Yes |
130 |
0.045 |
$5.84 |
$-11.04 |
-65.4% |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in August? |
Yes |
40 |
0.145 |
$5.80 |
$3.60 |
+163.6% |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
Yes |
200 |
0.025 |
$5.00 |
$-7.00 |
-58.3% |
| UK Recession in 2026? |
Yes |
30 |
0.140 |
$4.20 |
$-7.20 |
-63.2% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.040 |
$3.95 |
$-2.65 |
-40.2% |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
100 |
0.038 |
$3.85 |
$-5.15 |
-57.2% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
Yes |
50 |
0.065 |
$3.26 |
$-20.80 |
-86.5% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $680 in August? |
Yes |
100 |
0.033 |
$3.25 |
$0.35 |
+12.1% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in August? |
Yes |
60 |
0.050 |
$3.00 |
$-1.80 |
-37.5% |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? |
Yes |
88 |
0.033 |
$2.86 |
$-8.23 |
-74.2% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
30 |
0.095 |
$2.85 |
$-8.85 |
-75.6% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in August? |
Yes |
60 |
0.040 |
$2.40 |
$-0.80 |
-25.0% |