PnL (30d)

+$455

Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$30

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+123.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

38%

17W / 28L · 9 open

Win Return (30d)

39%

21W / 33L

Trades (30d)

54

across 15 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

+$45.46

avg win $120 · loss $30

Profit Factor

4.07

$602 won / $148 lost

Reward / Risk

4.07

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	32.8% 20W/41L	29	$934
💵 Economy	100.0% 1W/0L	6	$175
₿ Crypto	100.0% 1W/0L	6	$181
⚽ Sports	100.0% 1W/0L	1	$63

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

30 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
US recession by end of 2026?	No	256	0.905	$231.94	$39.72	+20.7%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?	Yes	128	0.555	$71.14	$45.19	+174.2%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in August?	Yes	120	0.570	$68.39	$49.99	+271.7%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	Yes	100	0.200	$20.00	$-20.00	-50.0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?	No	50	0.395	$19.75	$-6.25	-24.0%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	100	0.155	$15.50	$-17.50	-53.0%
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	60	0.255	$15.30	$-0.90	-5.6%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in August?	Yes	40	0.293	$11.74	$9.54	+433.6%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	100	0.114	$11.35	$-18.95	-62.5%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	291	0.037	$10.91	$-21.09	-65.9%
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	No	50	0.180	$9.00	$-1.00	-10.0%
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?	Yes	40	0.210	$8.40	$-2.80	-25.0%
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes	60	0.135	$8.10	$-2.10	-20.6%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in August?	Yes	10	0.785	$7.85	$5.85	+292.5%
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	Yes	130	0.045	$5.84	$-11.04	-65.4%
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	200	0.025	$4.90	$-7.10	-59.2%
UK Recession in 2026?	Yes	30	0.140	$4.20	$-7.20	-63.2%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	100	0.039	$3.90	$-2.70	-40.9%
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Yes	100	0.038	$3.85	$-5.15	-57.2%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $680 in August?	Yes	100	0.035	$3.50	$0.60	+20.7%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in August?	Yes	60	0.055	$3.30	$-1.50	-31.2%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	50	0.065	$3.26	$-20.80	-86.5%
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	Yes	88	0.033	$2.86	$-8.23	-74.2%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	30	0.095	$2.85	$-8.85	-75.6%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in August?	Yes	60	0.040	$2.40	$-0.80	-25.0%