| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
610 |
0.860 |
$524.28 |
$24.98 |
+5.0% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
357 |
0.820 |
$292.77 |
$60.77 |
+26.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
Yes |
220 |
0.915 |
$201.07 |
$47.06 |
+30.6% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
Yes |
202 |
0.815 |
$164.62 |
$14.61 |
+9.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
150 |
0.815 |
$122.45 |
$-0.77 |
-0.6% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
Yes |
133 |
0.870 |
$116.00 |
$16.00 |
+16.0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? |
No |
122 |
0.895 |
$109.26 |
$9.26 |
+9.3% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
150 |
0.715 |
$107.41 |
$17.41 |
+19.3% |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? |
Yes |
437 |
0.235 |
$102.65 |
$-6.35 |
-5.8% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
No |
70 |
0.795 |
$55.99 |
$5.99 |
+12.0% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
Yes |
66 |
0.850 |
$55.84 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
Yes |
167 |
0.305 |
$50.83 |
$2.83 |
+5.9% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
37 |
0.695 |
$25.62 |
$-0.92 |
-3.5% |
| NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31? |
Yes |
24 |
0.505 |
$12.02 |
$-2.98 |
-19.8% |
| Will Russia enter Hannivka by September 30, 2026? |
No |
25 |
0.440 |
$11.00 |
$1.00 |
+10.0% |
| Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? |
Yes |
100 |
0.110 |
$11.00 |
$1.00 |
+10.0% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? |
No |
143 |
0.070 |
$9.93 |
$-0.07 |
-0.7% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? |
No |
17 |
0.440 |
$7.59 |
$2.59 |
+51.7% |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 |
Yes |
36 |
0.205 |
$7.36 |
$-2.64 |
-26.4% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
11 |
0.460 |
$5.27 |
$0.26 |
+5.3% |
| Will Péter Magyar be TIME Person of the Year 2026? |
Yes |
103 |
0.045 |
$4.63 |
$-22.37 |
-82.8% |
| Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7? |
Yes |
67 |
0.046 |
$3.10 |
$-6.90 |
-69.0% |