| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
610 |
0.885 |
$539.52 |
$40.22 |
+8.1% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
357 |
0.795 |
$283.84 |
$51.84 |
+22.3% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
Yes |
220 |
0.895 |
$196.67 |
$42.67 |
+27.7% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
Yes |
202 |
0.785 |
$158.58 |
$8.57 |
+5.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
150 |
0.845 |
$126.97 |
$3.76 |
+3.0% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
Yes |
133 |
0.870 |
$116.00 |
$16.00 |
+16.0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? |
No |
122 |
0.905 |
$110.48 |
$10.48 |
+10.5% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
150 |
0.705 |
$105.91 |
$15.91 |
+17.7% |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? |
Yes |
437 |
0.235 |
$102.65 |
$-6.35 |
-5.8% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
133 |
0.660 |
$87.80 |
$12.80 |
+17.1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
Yes |
167 |
0.305 |
$50.83 |
$2.83 |
+5.9% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
No |
70 |
0.700 |
$49.30 |
$-0.70 |
-1.4% |
| Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? |
Yes |
100 |
0.125 |
$12.50 |
$2.50 |
+25.0% |
| NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31? |
Yes |
24 |
0.505 |
$12.02 |
$-2.98 |
-19.8% |
| Will Russia enter Hannivka by September 30, 2026? |
No |
25 |
0.440 |
$11.00 |
$1.00 |
+10.0% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? |
No |
143 |
0.070 |
$9.93 |
$-0.07 |
-0.7% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? |
No |
17 |
0.440 |
$7.59 |
$2.59 |
+51.7% |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 |
Yes |
36 |
0.185 |
$6.64 |
$-3.36 |
-33.6% |
| Will Péter Magyar be TIME Person of the Year 2026? |
Yes |
103 |
0.045 |
$4.63 |
$-22.37 |
-82.8% |
| Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7? |
Yes |
67 |
0.060 |
$4.00 |
$-6.00 |
-60.0% |