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Trader leaderboard/empty-dog

empty-dog

0x9f16feb66b8a4355528fd9eb1f6fceb989337013
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$3
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$4
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-24.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
19%
6W / 26L · 18 open
Win Return (30d)
43%
20W / 26L · 4 open
Trades (30d)
50
across 21 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$0.21
avg win $3 · loss $0
Profit Factor
0.49
$3 won / $6 lost
Reward / Risk
6.89
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$2
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $9,092 · all-time $1,992,215

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 44.4% 989W/1,238L 996 $1,173
⚽ Sports 35.6% 85W/154L 124 $109
🌤 Weather 60.9% 39W/25L 29 $36
🏛 Politics 100.0% 6W/0L 11 $5
₿ Crypto 47.1% 8W/9L 8 $39
💵 Economy 35.3% 6W/11L 8 $11
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/2L 6 $1

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

49 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Maurice Malone: Anytime Goalscorer Yes 39 0.445 $17.38 $15.92 +1086.4%
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in August be at least 105 mph? No 39 0.220 $8.59 $7.59 +759.3%
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by August 31, 2026? Yes 17 0.480 $8.30 $7.27 +700.0%
Otar Kiteishvili: Anytime Goalscorer Yes 31 0.245 $7.66 $6.18 +416.8%
Bartug Elmaz: Anytime Goalscorer Yes 9 0.475 $4.33 $3.82 +754.6%
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in August be at least 100 mph? No 26 0.154 $4.05 $3.05 +305.4%
Exact Score: CA Rosario Central 3 - 0 SC Corinthians Paulista? Yes 8 0.450 $3.60 $3.44 +2150.0%
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in August be at least 95 mph? No 78 0.043 $3.34 $2.14 +178.6%
Screwworm National Emergency declared by August 30? Yes 8 0.400 $3.20 $2.72 +566.7%
Exact Score: CA Rosario Central 3 - 1 SC Corinthians Paulista? Yes 11 0.255 $2.81 $2.58 +1175.0%
Exact Score: CA Rosario Central 3 - 2 SC Corinthians Paulista? Yes 11 0.255 $2.81 $2.58 +1175.0%
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in August be at least 85 mph? No 59 0.045 $2.68 $1.68 +167.6%
FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. FK Livyi Bereh: FK Livyi Bereh 1st Half O/U 1.5 Over 5 0.505 $2.60 $2.45 +1583.2%
Exact Score: Incheon United FC 1 - 3 Gimcheon Sangmu FC? Yes 10 0.255 $2.55 $2.35 +1175.0%
Exact Score: Incheon United FC 3 - 1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC? Yes 10 0.255 $2.55 $2.35 +1175.0%
Exact Score: Incheon United FC 0 - 2 Gimcheon Sangmu FC? Yes 10 0.255 $2.55 $2.35 +1175.0%
Exact Score: Incheon United FC 1 - 2 Gimcheon Sangmu FC? Yes 10 0.255 $2.55 $2.35 +1175.0%
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in August be at least 90 mph? No 44 0.057 $2.51 $1.51 +151.3%
ODI Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka Afghanistan 5 0.510 $2.49 $2.34 +1599.9%
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $305 on August 5? No 30 0.080 $2.39 $1.96 +451.4%
Will the Waddani Party (Somaliland National Party) win the most seats in the next Somaliland parliamentary election? Yes 62 0.026 $1.62 $1.45 +883.6%
Will the Smithsonian Women’s History Museum become law this year? Yes 25 0.060 $1.50 $1.00 +200.0%
San Martin de Tucuman vs. San Martin de San Juan: O/U 5.5 Over 19 0.050 $0.95 $-0.53 -35.8%
Will Export-control chip security become law this year? Yes 3 0.270 $0.91 $0.64 +237.5%
Will Trump Airport become law this year? Yes 17 0.044 $0.76 $0.53 +233.3%