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Trader leaderboard/empty-dog

empty-dog

0x9f16feb66b8a4355528fd9eb1f6fceb989337013
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$17
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$7
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+83.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
42%
40W / 55L · 54 open
Win Return (30d)
49%
67W / 71L · 11 open
Trades (30d)
149
across 65 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$0.36
avg win $2 · loss $0
Profit Factor
2.81
$26 won / $9 lost
Reward / Risk
8.20
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$0
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $8,119 · all-time $1,991,242

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 44.2% 982W/1,238L 992 $1,163
⚽ Sports 33.6% 78W/154L 123 $106
🌤 Weather 60.9% 39W/25L 28 $36
🏛 Politics 100.0% 6W/0L 10 $5
₿ Crypto 47.1% 8W/9L 8 $39
💵 Economy 35.3% 6W/11L 8 $8
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/2L 6 $1

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

54 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Otar Kiteishvili: Anytime Goalscorer Yes 31 0.380 $11.89 $10.40 +701.6%
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in August be at least 105 mph? No 39 0.220 $8.57 $7.57 +757.3%
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by August 31, 2026? Yes 17 0.480 $8.30 $7.27 +700.0%
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in August be at least 95 mph? No 78 0.076 $5.92 $4.72 +393.6%
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in August be at least 100 mph? No 26 0.155 $4.07 $3.07 +306.7%
Screwworm National Emergency declared by August 30? Yes 8 0.485 $3.88 $3.40 +708.3%
Exact Score: CA Rosario Central 3 - 0 SC Corinthians Paulista? Yes 8 0.425 $3.40 $3.24 +2024.9%
Exact Score: CA Rosario Central 3 - 1 SC Corinthians Paulista? Yes 11 0.255 $2.81 $2.58 +1175.0%
Exact Score: CA Rosario Central 3 - 2 SC Corinthians Paulista? Yes 11 0.255 $2.81 $2.58 +1175.0%
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in August be at least 85 mph? No 59 0.045 $2.68 $1.68 +167.6%
FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. FK Livyi Bereh: FK Livyi Bereh 1st Half O/U 1.5 Over 5 0.495 $2.55 $2.40 +1549.9%
Exact Score: Incheon United FC 1 - 3 Gimcheon Sangmu FC? Yes 10 0.255 $2.55 $2.35 +1175.0%
Exact Score: Incheon United FC 3 - 1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC? Yes 10 0.255 $2.55 $2.35 +1175.0%
Exact Score: Incheon United FC 0 - 2 Gimcheon Sangmu FC? Yes 10 0.255 $2.55 $2.35 +1175.0%
Exact Score: Incheon United FC 1 - 2 Gimcheon Sangmu FC? Yes 10 0.255 $2.55 $2.35 +1175.0%
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in August be at least 90 mph? No 44 0.057 $2.51 $1.51 +151.3%
ODI Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka Afghanistan 5 0.510 $2.49 $2.34 +1599.9%
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $295 on August 5? No 37 0.046 $1.74 $1.25 +253.2%
Will the Waddani Party (Somaliland National Party) win the most seats in the next Somaliland parliamentary election? Yes 62 0.025 $1.55 $1.39 +845.8%
Will the Smithsonian Women’s History Museum become law this year? Yes 25 0.060 $1.50 $1.00 +200.0%
Will Trump's approval rating be less than 37.0 on August 7, 2026? Yes 7 0.195 $1.37 $1.16 +550.0%
Will Trump Airport become law this year? Yes 17 0.061 $1.05 $0.82 +360.6%
San Martin de Tucuman vs. San Martin de San Juan: O/U 5.5 Over 19 0.050 $0.95 $-0.53 -35.8%
Will Oprah Winfrey announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes 61 0.013 $0.76 $0.40 +108.3%
Will Export-control chip security become law this year? Yes 3 0.225 $0.76 $0.49 +181.2%