Log in
Trader leaderboard/empty-dog

empty-dog

0x9f16feb66b8a4355528fd9eb1f6fceb989337013
PnL (30d)
+$333
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$74
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+80.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
44%
982W / 1,238L · 292 open
Win Return (30d)
47%
1,128W / 1,291L · 93 open
Trades (30d)
2,512
across 992 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$0.38
avg win $2 · loss $0
Profit Factor
2.37
$576 won / $243 lost
Reward / Risk
6.45
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$13
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $8,094 · all-time $1,991,217

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 44.2% 982W/1,238L 992 $1,163
⚽ Sports 33.0% 99W/201L 158 $133
🌤 Weather 60.3% 38W/25L 28 $36
🏛 Politics 69.6% 16W/7L 18 $13
🎬 Culture 52.6% 10W/9L 14 $8
₿ Crypto 47.1% 8W/9L 8 $39
💵 Economy 35.3% 6W/11L 8 $8

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

52 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in August be at least 105 mph? No 39 0.220 $8.57 $7.57 +757.3%
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by August 31, 2026? Yes 17 0.480 $8.30 $7.27 +700.0%
Screwworm National Emergency declared by August 30? Yes 8 0.495 $3.96 $3.48 +725.0%
Exact Score: CA Rosario Central 3 - 0 SC Corinthians Paulista? Yes 8 0.425 $3.40 $3.24 +2024.9%
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in August be at least 100 mph? No 26 0.120 $3.15 $2.15 +214.8%
Exact Score: CA Rosario Central 3 - 1 SC Corinthians Paulista? Yes 11 0.255 $2.81 $2.58 +1175.0%
Exact Score: CA Rosario Central 3 - 2 SC Corinthians Paulista? Yes 11 0.255 $2.81 $2.58 +1175.0%
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in August be at least 95 mph? No 78 0.035 $2.73 $1.53 +127.3%
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in August be at least 85 mph? No 59 0.045 $2.68 $1.68 +167.6%
FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. FK Livyi Bereh: FK Livyi Bereh 1st Half O/U 1.5 Over 5 0.495 $2.55 $2.40 +1549.9%
Exact Score: Incheon United FC 1 - 3 Gimcheon Sangmu FC? Yes 10 0.255 $2.55 $2.35 +1175.0%
Exact Score: Incheon United FC 3 - 1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC? Yes 10 0.255 $2.55 $2.35 +1175.0%
Exact Score: Incheon United FC 0 - 2 Gimcheon Sangmu FC? Yes 10 0.255 $2.55 $2.35 +1175.0%
Exact Score: Incheon United FC 1 - 2 Gimcheon Sangmu FC? Yes 10 0.255 $2.55 $2.35 +1175.0%
ODI Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka Afghanistan 5 0.510 $2.49 $2.34 +1599.9%
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in August be at least 90 mph? No 44 0.056 $2.45 $1.45 +144.7%
Will the Kulmiye Party (Peace, Unity, and Development Party) win the most seats in the next Somaliland parliamentary election? Yes 67 0.026 $1.75 $1.42 +420.0%
Will the Waddani Party (Somaliland National Party) win the most seats in the next Somaliland parliamentary election? Yes 62 0.026 $1.62 $1.45 +883.6%
Will Trump's approval rating be less than 37.0 on August 7, 2026? Yes 7 0.195 $1.37 $1.16 +550.0%
Will Trump Airport become law this year? Yes 17 0.070 $1.19 $0.96 +424.3%
San Martin de Tucuman vs. San Martin de San Juan: O/U 5.5 Over 19 0.050 $0.95 $-0.53 -35.8%
Will Export-control chip security become law this year? Yes 3 0.275 $0.92 $0.66 +243.8%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 34°C on August 7? Yes 22 0.039 $0.87 $0.64 +289.9%
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $295 on August 5? No 17 0.044 $0.76 $0.58 +304.5%
Will the SELF DRIVE Act become law this year? Yes 14 0.044 $0.62 $0.44 +238.4%