Log in
Trader leaderboard/48nico

48nico

0x9b97ef5bf77ceaf86d0284a8e571c018222e6084
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$168
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$133
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-19.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
22%
22W / 76L · 30 open
Win Return (30d)
17%
22W / 106L
Trades (30d)
128
across 22 markets · ~6 per market
EV / position
−$8.40
avg win $31 · loss $25
Profit Factor
0.53
$187 won / $355 lost
Reward / Risk
1.23
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$253
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $93,696 · all-time $3,970,406

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 45.4% 1,210W/1,453L 473 $122,086
⚽ Sports 64.6% 357W/196L 92 $26,739
🌤 Weather 22.4% 22W/76L 22 $958
🏛 Politics 50.0% 8W/8L 11 $458
🎬 Culture 36.4% 8W/14L 10 $200
💵 Economy 25.8% 8W/23L 7 $1,422
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/23L 2 $823
🤖 Tech 100.0% 8W/0L 1 $382

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

123 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group HANJIN BRION 200 1.000 $199.90 $105.39 +111.5%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 5? Yes 137 1.000 $136.90 $83.22 +155.0%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? No 200 0.519 $103.80 $-0.60 -0.6%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? Yes 100 1.000 $99.95 $86.95 +668.8%
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? Yes 100 0.865 $86.50 $21.50 +33.1%
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%? Yes 200 0.420 $84.00 $-31.30 -27.1%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 5? Yes 100 0.745 $74.50 $27.50 +58.5%
Will Hanwha Life Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? Yes 223 0.320 $71.34 $42.14 +144.3%
Will Javokhir Sindarov Win the 2026 Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz Tournament Yes 180 0.380 $68.40 $20.70 +43.4%
Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%? No 100 0.665 $66.50 $-2.50 -3.6%
Will LEVIATÁN Win VCT AMER Stage 2 2026? Yes 180 0.325 $58.50 $-17.63 -23.2%
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting? No 96 0.595 $57.18 $-1.44 -2.5%
Will Michael Carbonara be the FL-22 Republican nominee? Yes 100 0.565 $56.48 $-11.51 -16.9%
Will Anyone's Legend Win the Shortest Game in LPL 2026 Split 3? No 200 0.275 $55.00 $-28.00 -33.7%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August? Yes 100 0.545 $54.50 $1.50 +2.8%
Will Joao Cancelo join Barcelona? Yes 66 0.825 $54.01 $0.03 +0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 5? Yes 112 0.480 $53.87 $-1.88 -3.4%
Will His & Hers be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? Yes 700 0.075 $52.50 $-72.50 -58.0%
Will "Pluribus" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? No 100 0.515 $51.50 $-6.50 -11.2%
Will Liquid Win the Stake Pulse Beat 1 tournament? Yes 100 0.500 $50.04 $8.44 +20.3%
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting? No 100 0.460 $46.00 $-9.00 -16.4%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 5? Yes 100 0.425 $42.50 $5.50 +14.9%
Will Dplus win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? Yes 200 0.206 $41.20 $21.40 +108.1%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? No 52 0.770 $40.39 $-0.52 -1.3%
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes 1,251 0.032 $40.03 $30.23 +308.4%