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Trader leaderboard/48nico

48nico

0x9b97ef5bf77ceaf86d0284a8e571c018222e6084
PnL (30d)
−$5,736
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$392
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-7.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
45%
1,210W / 1,453L · 645 open
Win Return (30d)
47%
1,523W / 1,726L · 59 open
Trades (30d)
3,308
across 473 markets · ~7 per market
EV / position
−$16.87
avg win $90 · loss $97
Profit Factor
0.70
$13,156 won / $18,892 lost
Reward / Risk
0.93
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$1,265
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $92,925 · all-time $3,969,508

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 45.4% 1,210W/1,453L 473 $122,086
⚽ Sports 63.0% 359W/211L 96 $27,758
🌤 Weather 22.4% 22W/76L 22 $958
🏛 Politics 50.0% 8W/8L 11 $458
🎬 Culture 36.4% 8W/14L 10 $200
💵 Economy 25.8% 8W/23L 7 $1,422
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/23L 2 $823
🤖 Tech 100.0% 8W/0L 1 $382

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

122 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 5? Yes 137 1.000 $136.90 $83.22 +155.0%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? No 200 0.510 $102.08 $-2.32 -2.2%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? Yes 100 1.000 $99.95 $86.95 +668.8%
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%? Yes 200 0.420 $84.00 $-31.30 -27.1%
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? Yes 100 0.805 $80.50 $15.50 +23.8%
Will Hanwha Life Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? Yes 223 0.320 $71.34 $42.14 +144.3%
Will Javokhir Sindarov Win the 2026 Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz Tournament Yes 180 0.375 $67.50 $19.80 +41.5%
Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%? No 100 0.660 $66.00 $-3.00 -4.3%
Will LEVIATÁN Win VCT AMER Stage 2 2026? Yes 180 0.325 $58.50 $-17.63 -23.2%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 5? Yes 100 0.580 $58.00 $11.00 +23.4%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August? Yes 100 0.575 $57.50 $4.50 +8.5%
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting? No 96 0.590 $56.70 $-1.92 -3.3%
Will Michael Carbonara be the FL-22 Republican nominee? Yes 100 0.565 $56.48 $-11.51 -16.9%
Will Joao Cancelo join Barcelona? Yes 66 0.825 $54.01 $0.03 +0.1%
Will Anyone's Legend Win the Shortest Game in LPL 2026 Split 3? No 200 0.270 $54.00 $-29.00 -34.9%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group HANJIN BRION 100 0.525 $52.50 $-3.01 -5.4%
Will His & Hers be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? Yes 700 0.075 $52.50 $-72.50 -58.0%
Will Liquid Win the Stake Pulse Beat 1 tournament? Yes 100 0.518 $51.80 $10.20 +24.5%
Will "Pluribus" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? No 100 0.515 $51.50 $-6.50 -11.2%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 5? Yes 100 0.505 $50.50 $0.50 +1.0%
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting? No 100 0.460 $46.00 $-9.00 -16.4%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? No 52 0.775 $40.65 $-0.26 -0.6%
Will Dplus win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? Yes 200 0.203 $40.50 $20.70 +104.5%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 6? Yes 100 0.405 $40.50 $1.50 +3.8%
Will GAM Esports Win LCP 2026 Split 3? Yes 295 0.135 $39.87 $-8.27 -17.2%