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Trader leaderboard/48nico

48nico

0x9b97ef5bf77ceaf86d0284a8e571c018222e6084
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$53
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$50
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-15.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
50%
8W / 8L · 20 open
Win Return (30d)
52%
11W / 10L · 15 open
Trades (30d)
36
across 11 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$10.70
avg win $2 · loss $19
Profit Factor
0.05
$3 won / $56 lost
Reward / Risk
0.08
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$53
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $96,996 · all-time $3,973,706

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 45.5% 1,214W/1,457L 486 $123,505
⚽ Sports 64.3% 361W/200L 99 $27,630
🌤 Weather 22.4% 22W/76L 22 $958
🏛 Politics 50.0% 8W/8L 11 $506
🎬 Culture 36.4% 8W/14L 10 $248
💵 Economy 25.8% 8W/23L 7 $1,475
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/23L 2 $876
🤖 Tech 100.0% 8W/0L 1 $382

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

127 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 5? Yes 137 1.000 $136.90 $83.22 +155.0%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? No 200 0.601 $120.10 $15.70 +15.0%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 5? Yes 300 0.370 $110.99 $-29.00 -20.7%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? Yes 100 1.000 $99.95 $86.95 +668.8%
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%? Yes 200 0.420 $84.00 $-31.30 -27.1%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 5? Yes 106 0.725 $76.82 $3.78 +5.2%
Will Hanwha Life Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? Yes 223 0.314 $70.01 $40.80 +139.7%
Will Javokhir Sindarov Win the 2026 Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz Tournament Yes 180 0.380 $68.40 $20.70 +43.4%
Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%? No 100 0.665 $66.50 $-2.50 -3.6%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August? Yes 100 0.650 $65.00 $12.00 +22.6%
Will LEVIATÁN Win VCT AMER Stage 2 2026? Yes 180 0.340 $61.20 $-14.93 -19.6%
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting? No 96 0.595 $57.18 $-1.44 -2.5%
Will Michael Carbonara be the FL-22 Republican nominee? Yes 100 0.565 $56.48 $-11.51 -16.9%
Will Joao Cancelo join Barcelona? Yes 66 0.825 $54.01 $0.03 +0.1%
Will "Pluribus" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? No 100 0.535 $53.50 $-4.50 -7.8%
Will Liquid Win the Stake Pulse Beat 1 tournament? Yes 100 0.527 $52.70 $11.10 +26.7%
Will His & Hers be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? Yes 700 0.075 $52.50 $-72.50 -58.0%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 5? Yes 100 0.520 $52.00 $1.00 +2.0%
Will Anyone's Legend Win the Shortest Game in LPL 2026 Split 3? No 200 0.245 $49.00 $-34.00 -41.0%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 5? Yes 100 0.480 $48.00 $1.00 +2.1%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 5? Yes 100 0.460 $46.00 $22.00 +91.7%
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting? No 100 0.455 $45.50 $-9.50 -17.3%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 5? Yes 100 0.415 $41.50 $4.50 +12.2%
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes 1,251 0.032 $40.03 $30.23 +308.4%
Will Dplus win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? Yes 200 0.200 $40.00 $20.20 +102.0%