| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? |
Yes |
842 |
0.971 |
$817.39 |
$309.33 |
+60.9% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 5? |
Yes |
113 |
1.000 |
$113.22 |
$55.45 |
+96.0% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? |
No |
176 |
0.390 |
$68.56 |
$68.56 |
+0.0% |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? |
No |
101 |
0.625 |
$63.34 |
$63.34 |
+0.0% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
No |
64 |
0.643 |
$41.18 |
$-4.11 |
-9.1% |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? |
Yes |
865 |
0.030 |
$26.40 |
$-89.02 |
-77.1% |
| Will “Saturday Night Live” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series? |
No |
21 |
0.984 |
$20.72 |
$20.72 |
+0.0% |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? |
No |
20 |
0.755 |
$15.24 |
$15.24 |
+0.0% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? |
No |
11 |
0.959 |
$10.70 |
$10.70 |
+0.0% |
| Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? |
No |
20 |
0.495 |
$9.67 |
$9.67 |
+0.0% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? |
No |
11 |
0.865 |
$9.45 |
$9.45 |
+0.0% |
| Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? |
Yes |
20 |
0.445 |
$8.90 |
$8.90 |
+0.0% |
| Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record? |
No |
65 |
0.125 |
$8.14 |
$-4.88 |
-37.5% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? |
No |
19 |
0.385 |
$7.48 |
$-0.87 |
-10.5% |
| Will Hanwha Life Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? |
No |
10 |
0.680 |
$6.47 |
$6.47 |
+0.0% |
| Will the Republican Party win the LA-06 House seat? |
No |
42 |
0.115 |
$4.82 |
$4.82 |
+0.0% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? |
Yes |
22 |
0.165 |
$3.63 |
$2.84 |
+362.0% |
| Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series? |
Yes |
5 |
0.640 |
$3.20 |
$2.20 |
+220.0% |
| Will Boston Red Sox win the 2026 AL East title? |
Yes |
20 |
0.155 |
$3.10 |
$-0.23 |
-7.0% |
| Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? |
Yes |
6 |
0.330 |
$1.82 |
$1.82 |
+0.0% |
| Will July 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record? |
Yes |
34 |
0.048 |
$1.63 |
$-6.87 |
-80.8% |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? |
Yes |
865 |
0.002 |
$1.30 |
$-26.37 |
-95.3% |
| Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? |
Yes |
20 |
0.059 |
$1.15 |
$1.15 |
+0.0% |
| Will “Jimmy Kimmel Live!” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series? |
Yes |
5 |
0.147 |
$0.73 |
$-0.27 |
-26.5% |
| Will July 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record? |
Yes |
215 |
0.003 |
$0.65 |
$-53.12 |
-98.8% |