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Trader leaderboard/0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225

0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225

0x9b129ad05bc0a8df3c73dfcc66fe75252daec2d5
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$46
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$14
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
67%
163W / 82L · 139 open
Win Return (30d)
64%
244W / 139L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
384
across 59 markets · ~7 per market
EV / position
+$1.24
avg win $16 · loss $38
Profit Factor
1.12
$424 won / $378 lost
Reward / Risk
0.42
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$30
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $46,325 · all-time $1,586,246

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 53.5% 11,727W/10,201L 6534 $267,745
🌤 Weather 50.2% 545W/540L 384 $7,428
⚽ Sports 35.6% 139W/251L 252 $3,632
🏛 Politics 31.9% 60W/128L 60 $6,369
🎬 Culture 18.1% 27W/122L 37 $1,640
💵 Economy 53.1% 17W/15L 17 $3,233
₿ Crypto 57.1% 8W/6L 9 $813
🤖 Tech 17.6% 3W/14L 6 $635

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

86 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? Yes 909 0.992 $901.50 $346.73 +62.5%
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No 176 0.385 $67.68 $67.68 +0.0%
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No 101 0.610 $61.82 $61.82 +0.0%
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No 64 0.643 $41.18 $-4.11 -9.1%
Will “Saturday Night Live” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series? No 21 0.984 $20.72 $20.72 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 5? Yes 37 0.525 $19.24 $19.24 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 5? Yes 41 0.380 $15.74 $-14.79 -48.4%
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No 20 0.755 $15.24 $15.24 +0.0%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? No 11 0.983 $10.97 $10.97 +0.0%
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No 20 0.495 $9.67 $9.67 +0.0%
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No 11 0.865 $9.45 $9.45 +0.0%
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes 20 0.440 $8.80 $8.80 +0.0%
Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record? No 65 0.125 $8.14 $-4.88 -37.5%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? Yes 912 0.009 $7.75 $-5.01 -39.3%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No 19 0.365 $7.09 $-1.26 -15.1%
Will Hanwha Life Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? No 10 0.686 $6.53 $6.53 +0.0%
Will Brøndby IF win on 2026-08-05? No 5 0.986 $5.10 $0.06 +1.2%
Will the Republican Party win the LA-06 House seat? No 42 0.115 $4.82 $4.82 +0.0%
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes 22 0.155 $3.41 $2.62 +334.0%
Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series? Yes 5 0.645 $3.23 $2.23 +222.5%
Will Boston Red Sox win the 2026 AL East title? Yes 20 0.158 $3.16 $-0.17 -5.2%
Will July 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record? Yes 34 0.062 $2.12 $-6.38 -75.0%
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? Yes 6 0.325 $1.79 $1.79 +0.0%
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? Yes 20 0.064 $1.25 $1.25 +0.0%
Will “Jimmy Kimmel Live!” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series? Yes 5 0.141 $0.70 $-0.30 -29.6%