| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? |
Yes |
842 |
0.973 |
$819.07 |
$311.01 |
+61.2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 5? |
Yes |
113 |
1.000 |
$113.22 |
$55.45 |
+96.0% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? |
No |
176 |
0.385 |
$67.68 |
$67.68 |
+0.0% |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? |
No |
101 |
0.615 |
$62.32 |
$62.32 |
+0.0% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
No |
64 |
0.643 |
$41.18 |
$-4.11 |
-9.1% |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? |
Yes |
865 |
0.028 |
$24.23 |
$-91.19 |
-79.0% |
| Will “Saturday Night Live” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series? |
No |
21 |
0.984 |
$20.72 |
$20.72 |
+0.0% |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? |
No |
20 |
0.755 |
$15.24 |
$15.24 |
+0.0% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? |
No |
11 |
0.971 |
$10.84 |
$10.84 |
+0.0% |
| Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? |
No |
20 |
0.495 |
$9.67 |
$9.67 |
+0.0% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? |
No |
11 |
0.865 |
$9.45 |
$9.45 |
+0.0% |
| Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? |
Yes |
20 |
0.445 |
$8.90 |
$8.90 |
+0.0% |
| Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record? |
No |
65 |
0.130 |
$8.46 |
$-4.56 |
-35.0% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? |
No |
19 |
0.385 |
$7.48 |
$-0.87 |
-10.5% |
| Will Hanwha Life Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? |
No |
10 |
0.686 |
$6.53 |
$6.53 |
+0.0% |
| Will the Republican Party win the LA-06 House seat? |
No |
42 |
0.115 |
$4.82 |
$4.82 |
+0.0% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? |
Yes |
22 |
0.165 |
$3.63 |
$2.84 |
+362.0% |
| Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series? |
Yes |
5 |
0.640 |
$3.20 |
$2.20 |
+220.0% |
| Will Boston Red Sox win the 2026 AL East title? |
Yes |
20 |
0.156 |
$3.12 |
$-0.21 |
-6.4% |
| Will July 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record? |
Yes |
34 |
0.068 |
$2.31 |
$-6.19 |
-72.8% |
| Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? |
Yes |
6 |
0.325 |
$1.79 |
$1.79 |
+0.0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? |
Yes |
865 |
0.002 |
$1.30 |
$-26.37 |
-95.3% |
| Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? |
Yes |
20 |
0.057 |
$1.11 |
$1.11 |
+0.0% |
| Will “Jimmy Kimmel Live!” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series? |
Yes |
5 |
0.146 |
$0.73 |
$-0.27 |
-26.8% |
| Will July 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record? |
Yes |
215 |
0.003 |
$0.65 |
$-53.12 |
-98.8% |