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Trader leaderboard/PaddyAlpha

PaddyAlpha

0x9ad091ca2e8f1bd69f27662edcb49dceeaa5bf3d
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$0
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$72
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
no 30d activity
Win Return (30d)
57%
90W / 69L
Trades (30d)
159
across 11 markets · ~14 per market
EV / position
no settled positions
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $185,941 · all-time $21,810,273

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 46.1% 2,743W/3,202L 580 $420,299
🎬 Culture 86.4% 191W/30L 81 $11,559
🏛 Politics 79.3% 211W/55L 76 $27,140
🤖 Tech 51 $2,564
⚽ Sports 11 $2,696
₿ Crypto 10 $1,635
💵 Economy 8 $1,615
🔬 Science 3 $1,473
🌤 Weather 1 $738

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No 4,475 0.915 $4,095.00 $30.94 +0.8%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No 3,027 0.981 $2,967.54 $1.86 +0.1%
LA28 Olympics run as scheduled? No 9,427 0.241 $2,276.58 $1,289.47 +130.6%
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 2,005 0.985 $1,974.10 $1.00 +0.1%
Will Beauty And A Beat – Justin Bieber & Nicki Minaj be the top song for 2026? No 1,987 0.963 $1,912.84 $353.71 +22.7%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 1,960 0.855 $1,675.83 $55.91 +3.5%
Will Stranger Things be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? No 1,601 0.924 $1,478.87 $117.63 +8.6%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? Yes 1,828 0.800 $1,462.27 $309.79 +26.9%
Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No 1,506 0.967 $1,456.67 $25.74 +1.8%
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? No 1,441 0.973 $1,401.00 $291.49 +26.3%
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? Yes 1,275 0.987 $1,257.78 $57.08 +4.8%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? No 1,274 0.984 $1,253.42 $0.11 +0.0%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? Yes 1,748 0.705 $1,232.33 $568.88 +85.7%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? Yes 1,294 0.900 $1,164.83 $211.06 +22.1%
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? No 1,181 0.929 $1,098.08 $524.83 +91.6%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No 1,126 0.905 $1,018.70 $181.38 +21.7%
Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31? No 1,099 0.925 $1,016.74 $48.09 +5.0%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? Yes 1,932 0.525 $1,014.48 $95.15 +10.3%
Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31? No 1,058 0.955 $1,009.42 $45.90 +4.8%
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by August 31, 2026? No 1,074 0.905 $971.92 $111.13 +12.9%
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No 1,056 0.905 $955.71 $189.83 +24.8%
Will Jacob Elordi be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No 960 0.989 $949.43 $119.44 +14.4%
Will A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? No 915 0.974 $890.79 $66.19 +8.0%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No 935 0.945 $883.54 $99.26 +12.7%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? No 901 0.976 $879.04 $3.61 +0.4%