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Trader leaderboard/PaddyAlpha

PaddyAlpha

0x9ad091ca2e8f1bd69f27662edcb49dceeaa5bf3d
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$494
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$1,275
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-1.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
47%
413W / 469L · 1,925 open
Win Return (30d)
54%
899W / 767L · 1,141 open
Trades (30d)
2,807
across 149 markets · ~19 per market
EV / position
−$7.73
avg win $65 · loss $57
Profit Factor
0.77
$1,678 won / $2,172 lost
Reward / Risk
1.13
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$162
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $179,201 · all-time $21,803,533

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 46.1% 2,743W/3,202L 577 $413,039
🎬 Culture 86.4% 191W/30L 80 $11,541
🏛 Politics 79.3% 211W/55L 74 $26,073
🤖 Tech 51 $2,562
⚽ Sports 10 $2,357
₿ Crypto 9 $1,635
💵 Economy 7 $1,614
🔬 Science 3 $1,225
🌤 Weather 1 $489

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No 4,475 0.915 $4,095.00 $30.94 +0.8%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No 3,027 0.981 $2,967.54 $1.86 +0.1%
LA28 Olympics run as scheduled? No 9,427 0.239 $2,253.02 $1,265.90 +128.2%
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 2,005 0.985 $1,974.10 $1.00 +0.1%
Will Beauty And A Beat – Justin Bieber & Nicki Minaj be the top song for 2026? No 1,987 0.963 $1,912.84 $353.71 +22.7%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 1,960 0.845 $1,656.23 $36.31 +2.2%
Will Stranger Things be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? No 1,601 0.924 $1,478.87 $117.63 +8.6%
Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No 1,506 0.967 $1,456.67 $25.74 +1.8%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? Yes 1,733 0.810 $1,403.60 $326.17 +30.3%
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? No 1,441 0.973 $1,401.00 $291.49 +26.3%
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? Yes 1,275 0.987 $1,257.78 $57.08 +4.8%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? Yes 1,948 0.645 $1,256.45 $517.09 +69.9%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? No 1,274 0.986 $1,255.33 $2.02 +0.2%
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? No 1,181 0.928 $1,096.90 $523.65 +91.3%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? Yes 2,012 0.510 $1,026.21 $69.76 +7.3%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No 1,126 0.905 $1,018.70 $181.38 +21.7%
Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31? No 1,099 0.925 $1,016.74 $48.09 +5.0%
Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31? No 1,058 0.955 $1,009.42 $45.90 +4.8%
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by August 31, 2026? No 1,074 0.905 $971.92 $111.13 +12.9%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? Yes 1,098 0.875 $960.50 $175.76 +22.4%
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No 1,056 0.905 $955.71 $189.83 +24.8%
Will Jacob Elordi be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No 960 0.989 $949.43 $119.44 +14.4%
Will A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? No 915 0.974 $890.79 $66.19 +8.0%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No 935 0.945 $883.54 $99.26 +12.7%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? No 901 0.976 $879.04 $3.61 +0.4%