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Trader leaderboard/PaddyAlpha

PaddyAlpha

0x9ad091ca2e8f1bd69f27662edcb49dceeaa5bf3d
PnL (30d)
+$1,999
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$3,754
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
46%
2,743W / 3,202L · 8,460 open
Win Return (30d)
56%
7,464W / 5,798L · 1,143 open
Trades (30d)
14,405
across 577 markets · ~25 per market
EV / position
+$7.75
avg win $109 · loss $49
Profit Factor
1.25
$10,133 won / $8,135 lost
Reward / Risk
2.21
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$506
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $166,930 · all-time $21,785,397

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 46.1% 2,743W/3,202L 577 $413,039
🎬 Culture 78.4% 203W/56L 91 $13,661
🏛 Politics 72.9% 226W/84L 89 $29,756
🤖 Tech 51 $2,575
₿ Crypto 10 $1,683
⚽ Sports 10 $2,694
💵 Economy 7 $1,653
🔬 Science 3 $1,284
🌤 Weather 1 $496

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No 4,475 0.915 $4,095.00 $30.94 +0.8%
LA28 Olympics run as scheduled? No 9,420 0.340 $3,198.04 $2,212.68 +224.6%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No 3,027 0.981 $2,967.54 $1.86 +0.1%
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 2,005 0.985 $1,974.10 $1.00 +0.1%
Will Beauty And A Beat – Justin Bieber & Nicki Minaj be the top song for 2026? No 1,987 0.963 $1,912.84 $353.71 +22.7%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 2,160 0.845 $1,825.23 $40.01 +2.2%
Will Stranger Things be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? No 1,601 0.924 $1,478.87 $117.63 +8.6%
Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No 1,506 0.968 $1,457.42 $26.50 +1.9%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? Yes 1,743 0.820 $1,429.61 $445.18 +45.2%
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? No 1,441 0.976 $1,406.04 $296.53 +26.7%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? Yes 1,738 0.725 $1,260.04 $733.15 +139.1%
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? Yes 1,275 0.987 $1,257.78 $57.08 +4.8%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? No 1,274 0.983 $1,252.15 $-1.17 -0.1%
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? No 1,181 0.926 $1,094.53 $521.29 +90.9%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No 1,126 0.905 $1,018.70 $181.38 +21.7%
Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31? No 1,099 0.925 $1,016.74 $48.09 +5.0%
Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31? No 1,058 0.955 $1,009.42 $45.90 +4.8%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? Yes 1,730 0.565 $977.42 $198.82 +25.5%
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by August 31, 2026? No 1,074 0.900 $966.55 $105.76 +12.3%
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No 1,056 0.900 $950.43 $184.55 +24.1%
Will Jacob Elordi be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No 960 0.989 $949.43 $119.44 +14.4%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? Yes 1,084 0.855 $927.04 $181.07 +24.3%
Will A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? No 915 0.973 $889.88 $65.27 +7.9%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No 935 0.945 $883.54 $99.26 +12.7%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? No 901 0.976 $879.49 $4.06 +0.5%