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Trader leaderboard/ash3erman

ash3erman

0x9aca4d50c5c279f9c8429c31dbbce097e25f61fd
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$549
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$48
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-3.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
57%
198W / 147L · 51 open
Win Return (30d)
51%
203W / 192L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
396
across 128 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$4.62
avg win $95 · loss $85
Profit Factor
0.90
$5,039 won / $5,589 lost
Reward / Risk
1.12
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$1,547
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $10,278 · all-time $274,193

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 56.0% 277W/218L 176 $35,193
⚽ Sports 38.1% 43W/70L 57 $6,504
🏛 Politics 57.1% 4W/3L 5 $2,013
💵 Economy 57.1% 4W/3L 2 $1,206

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

30 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid? Yes 1,594 0.959 $1,527.43 $153.77 +11.2%
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? No 1,105 0.920 $1,016.74 $251.85 +32.9%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? Yes 378 1.000 $378.02 $99.96 +35.9%
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? Yes 822 0.336 $275.94 $-91.42 -24.9%
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OAI? Yes 399 0.615 $245.61 $8.93 +3.8%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Sky Chicago Sky 317 0.585 $185.51 $-0.30 -0.2%
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? Yes 10,828 0.013 $146.17 $-735.39 -83.4%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 954 0.144 $137.89 $10.02 +7.8%
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5) Boston Red Sox 173 0.665 $115.02 $0.86 +0.8%
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? Yes 284 0.365 $103.69 $41.09 +65.6%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 178.5 Under 265 0.390 $103.24 $-16.76 -14.0%
Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Fever Indiana Fever 141 0.490 $69.13 $-1.00 -1.4%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 187.5 Under 137 0.465 $63.53 $-3.10 -4.6%
Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty: O/U 181.5 Under 120 0.470 $56.60 $-0.50 -0.9%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5 Over 101 0.525 $52.93 $-0.50 -0.9%
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto Nothing 39 0.964 $37.47 $1.76 +4.9%
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves 67 0.545 $36.37 $-0.85 -2.3%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No 50 0.675 $33.71 $2.75 +8.9%
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Griekspoor (+1.5) Zverev 51 0.625 $31.85 $-3.31 -9.4%
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? Yes 72 0.435 $31.28 $7.92 +33.9%
Will Ian Machado Garry become UFC champion in 2026? No 32 0.690 $21.91 $-0.56 -2.5%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 189.5 Under 31 0.545 $16.83 $-0.15 -0.9%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 Under 40 0.355 $14.36 $-5.46 -27.6%
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes 28 0.440 $12.49 $-0.57 -4.3%
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? Yes 52 0.175 $9.17 $-12.66 -58.0%