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Trader leaderboard/ash3erman

ash3erman

0x9aca4d50c5c279f9c8429c31dbbce097e25f61fd
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$268
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
+19.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
9W / 0L
Win Return (30d)
100%
9W / 0L
Trades (30d)
9
across 2 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$133.98
avg win $134
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
−$76
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $10,278 · all-time $274,193

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 56.0% 277W/218L 177 $35,203
⚽ Sports 38.1% 43W/70L 58 $6,514
🏛 Politics 57.1% 4W/3L 5 $2,013
💵 Economy 57.1% 4W/3L 2 $1,206

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

30 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid? Yes 1,594 0.978 $1,558.50 $184.84 +13.5%
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? No 1,105 0.920 $1,016.74 $251.85 +32.9%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? Yes 378 1.000 $378.02 $99.96 +35.9%
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? Yes 822 0.402 $330.22 $-37.14 -10.1%
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OAI? Yes 399 0.650 $259.59 $22.91 +9.7%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Sky Chicago Sky 317 0.585 $185.51 $-0.30 -0.2%
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? Yes 10,828 0.013 $146.17 $-735.39 -83.4%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 954 0.144 $137.89 $10.02 +7.8%
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5) Boston Red Sox 173 0.665 $115.02 $0.86 +0.8%
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? Yes 284 0.365 $103.69 $41.09 +65.6%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 178.5 Under 265 0.390 $103.24 $-16.76 -14.0%
Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Fever Indiana Fever 141 0.490 $69.13 $-1.00 -1.4%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 187.5 Under 137 0.490 $66.95 $0.32 +0.5%
Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty: O/U 181.5 Under 120 0.465 $56.00 $-1.10 -1.9%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5 Over 101 0.525 $52.93 $-0.50 -0.9%
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto Nothing 39 0.964 $37.47 $1.76 +4.9%
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves 67 0.545 $36.37 $-0.85 -2.3%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No 50 0.675 $33.71 $2.75 +8.9%
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Griekspoor (+1.5) Zverev 51 0.625 $31.85 $-3.31 -9.4%
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? Yes 72 0.435 $31.28 $7.92 +33.9%
Will Ian Machado Garry become UFC champion in 2026? No 32 0.690 $21.91 $-0.56 -2.5%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 189.5 Under 31 0.535 $16.52 $-0.46 -2.7%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 Under 40 0.350 $14.16 $-5.66 -28.6%
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes 28 0.440 $12.49 $-0.57 -4.3%
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? Yes 52 0.175 $9.17 $-12.66 -58.0%