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Trader leaderboard/ash3erman

ash3erman

0x9aca4d50c5c279f9c8429c31dbbce097e25f61fd
PnL (30d)
−$1,969
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$278
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-6.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
56%
277W / 218L · 151 open
Win Return (30d)
51%
330W / 316L
Trades (30d)
646
across 176 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$12.62
avg win $93 · loss $101
Profit Factor
0.77
$6,585 won / $8,554 lost
Reward / Risk
0.92
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$1,862
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $10,232 · all-time $274,147

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 56.0% 277W/218L 176 $35,193
⚽ Sports 38.1% 43W/70L 57 $6,504
🏛 Politics 57.1% 4W/3L 5 $2,013
💵 Economy 57.1% 4W/3L 2 $1,206

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

30 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Yan Diomande join Real Madrid? Yes 1,594 0.958 $1,526.63 $152.97 +11.1%
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? No 1,105 0.920 $1,016.74 $251.85 +32.9%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? Yes 378 1.000 $378.02 $99.96 +35.9%
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? Yes 822 0.369 $303.90 $-63.46 -17.3%
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OAI? Yes 399 0.575 $229.63 $-7.04 -3.0%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Sky Chicago Sky 317 0.565 $179.13 $-6.67 -3.6%
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? Yes 10,828 0.013 $146.17 $-735.39 -83.4%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 954 0.143 $136.94 $9.07 +7.1%
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5) Boston Red Sox 173 0.665 $115.02 $0.86 +0.8%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 178.5 Under 265 0.390 $103.24 $-16.76 -14.0%
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? Yes 284 0.355 $100.85 $38.25 +61.1%
Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Fever Indiana Fever 141 0.495 $69.84 $-0.29 -0.4%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 187.5 Under 137 0.495 $67.63 $1.00 +1.5%
Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty: O/U 181.5 Under 120 0.465 $56.00 $-1.10 -1.9%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5 Over 101 0.525 $52.93 $-0.50 -0.9%
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto Nothing 39 0.964 $37.47 $1.76 +4.9%
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves 67 0.545 $36.37 $-0.85 -2.3%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No 50 0.675 $33.71 $2.75 +8.9%
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? Yes 72 0.435 $31.28 $7.92 +33.9%
Will Ian Machado Garry become UFC champion in 2026? No 32 0.685 $21.76 $-0.71 -3.2%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 189.5 Under 31 0.555 $17.14 $0.15 +0.9%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 Under 40 0.350 $14.16 $-5.66 -28.6%
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes 28 0.440 $12.49 $-0.57 -4.3%
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? Yes 52 0.185 $9.69 $-12.14 -55.6%
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes 15 0.395 $5.91 $1.27 +27.4%