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Trader leaderboard/weatherlover21

weatherlover21

0x9631150718ea1a1a662871f9d696f6567f55a38c
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$34
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-43.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
0%
0W / 15L · 5 open
Win Return (30d)
5%
1W / 19L
Trades (30d)
20
across 15 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
−$3.38
· loss $3
Profit Factor
0.00
$0 won / $34 lost
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
−$0
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $11,397 · all-time $256,104

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 13.5% 346W/2,215L 2139 $6,609
🌤 Weather 9.2% 33W/326L 321 $538
🎬 Culture 12.2% 9W/65L 58 $208
🏛 Politics 13.8% 9W/56L 54 $207
⚽ Sports 16.0% 4W/21L 22 $118
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/5L 8 $45
🤖 Tech 0.0% 0W/3L 1 $0
🔬 Science 0.0% 0W/1L 1 $3

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 5? Yes 49 0.998 $48.94 $11.34 +30.2%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 5? Yes 43 1.000 $42.98 $26.64 +163.0%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? Yes 41 1.000 $40.98 $18.43 +81.7%
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting? Yes 41 0.986 $40.85 $6.00 +17.2%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? Yes 37 0.973 $35.66 $20.29 +132.0%
Will 3 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries? Yes 49 0.705 $34.54 $9.55 +38.2%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on August 5? Yes 26 1.000 $25.99 $6.49 +33.3%
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? Yes 43 0.530 $22.79 $-2.15 -8.6%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 5? Yes 22 1.000 $21.99 $14.07 +177.6%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 5? Yes 21 1.000 $21.27 $12.24 +135.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 5? Yes 20 0.965 $19.30 $12.50 +183.8%
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? Yes 43 0.420 $18.06 $4.30 +31.2%
Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July? Yes 40 0.390 $15.60 $2.80 +21.9%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 6? Yes 41 0.375 $15.38 $3.08 +25.0%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C or higher on August 5? Yes 15 1.000 $14.99 $5.99 +66.6%
Will ISM Services PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in July? Yes 40 0.358 $14.32 $5.12 +55.7%
Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 250k and 300k? Yes 20 0.685 $13.70 $8.74 +176.2%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 5? Yes 20 0.630 $12.60 $0.20 +1.6%
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? Yes 11 0.949 $10.44 $9.01 +630.0%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 6? Yes 41 0.245 $10.04 $1.44 +16.7%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 5? Yes 10 0.980 $9.80 $2.10 +27.3%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 5? Yes 18 0.540 $9.72 $0.72 +8.0%
Allstate (ALL) Q2 property-liability combined ratio <88%? Yes 20 0.460 $9.20 $0.20 +2.2%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 7? Yes 20 0.440 $8.80 $3.40 +63.0%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 7? Yes 20 0.415 $8.30 $2.30 +38.3%