Log in
Trader leaderboard/weatherlover21

weatherlover21

0x9631150718ea1a1a662871f9d696f6567f55a38c
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$51
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$21
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-9.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
12%
18W / 129L · 12 open
Win Return (30d)
14%
21W / 133L · 5 open
Trades (30d)
159
across 115 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
−$0.49
avg win $14 · loss $3
Profit Factor
0.83
$252 won / $303 lost
Reward / Risk
4.02
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$38
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $11,709 · all-time $256,416

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 13.5% 346W/2,215L 2139 $6,609
🌤 Weather 9.2% 33W/326L 321 $538
🎬 Culture 12.2% 9W/65L 58 $208
🏛 Politics 13.8% 9W/56L 54 $207
⚽ Sports 16.0% 4W/21L 22 $118
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/5L 8 $45
🤖 Tech 0.0% 0W/3L 1 $0
🔬 Science 0.0% 0W/1L 1 $3

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 5? Yes 49 0.998 $48.94 $11.34 +30.2%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 5? Yes 43 1.000 $42.98 $26.64 +163.0%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? Yes 41 1.000 $40.98 $18.43 +81.7%
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting? Yes 41 0.986 $40.85 $6.00 +17.2%
Will 3 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries? Yes 49 0.778 $38.15 $13.16 +52.6%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? Yes 37 0.970 $35.55 $20.18 +131.3%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on August 5? Yes 26 1.000 $25.99 $6.49 +33.3%
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? Yes 43 0.530 $22.79 $-2.15 -8.6%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 5? Yes 22 1.000 $21.99 $14.07 +177.6%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 5? Yes 21 1.000 $21.27 $12.24 +135.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 5? Yes 20 0.970 $19.40 $12.60 +185.3%
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? Yes 43 0.415 $17.84 $4.08 +29.7%
Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July? Yes 40 0.390 $15.60 $2.80 +21.9%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C or higher on August 5? Yes 15 1.000 $14.99 $5.99 +66.6%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 6? Yes 41 0.365 $14.96 $2.67 +21.7%
Will ISM Services PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in July? Yes 40 0.365 $14.62 $5.42 +58.9%
Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 250k and 300k? Yes 20 0.693 $13.85 $8.89 +179.2%
Will Latigo Biotherapeutics' market cap be between $1B and $1.15B at market close on IPO day? Yes 20 0.565 $11.30 $7.30 +182.4%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 5? Yes 20 0.560 $11.20 $-1.20 -9.7%
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? Yes 11 0.946 $10.40 $8.97 +627.3%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 6? Yes 41 0.245 $10.04 $1.44 +16.7%
Will Latigo Biotherapeutics' market cap be at least $1.45B at market close on IPO day? Yes 20 0.500 $10.00 $7.80 +354.5%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 5? Yes 18 0.555 $9.99 $0.99 +11.0%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 5? Yes 10 0.985 $9.85 $2.15 +27.9%
Allstate (ALL) Q2 property-liability combined ratio <88%? Yes 20 0.460 $9.20 $0.20 +2.2%