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Trader leaderboard/weatherlover21

weatherlover21

0x9631150718ea1a1a662871f9d696f6567f55a38c
PnL (30d)
+$282
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$33
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+4.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
14%
346W / 2,215L · 186 open
Win Return (30d)
14%
368W / 2,283L · 96 open
Trades (30d)
2,747
across 2,031 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
+$0.15
avg win $11 · loss $2
Profit Factor
1.08
$3,635 won / $3,352 lost
Reward / Risk
5.31
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$149
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $11,246 · all-time $255,952

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 13.5% 346W/2,215L 2031 $6,282
🌤 Weather 9.2% 35W/345L 303 $501
🎬 Culture 12.2% 9W/65L 54 $169
🏛 Politics 13.8% 9W/56L 50 $168
⚽ Sports 14.8% 4W/23L 24 $151
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/6L 9 $49
🤖 Tech 0.0% 0W/3L 1 $0
🔬 Science 0.0% 0W/1L 1 $3

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 5? Yes 49 0.990 $48.55 $10.95 +29.1%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 5? Yes 43 0.987 $42.44 $26.10 +159.7%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? Yes 41 1.000 $40.98 $18.43 +81.7%
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting? Yes 41 0.986 $40.85 $6.00 +17.2%
Will 3 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries? Yes 49 0.761 $37.31 $12.32 +49.3%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? Yes 37 0.973 $35.66 $20.29 +132.0%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on August 5? Yes 26 0.999 $25.96 $6.46 +33.1%
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? Yes 43 0.530 $22.79 $-2.15 -8.6%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 5? Yes 22 1.000 $21.99 $14.07 +177.6%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 5? Yes 21 1.000 $21.27 $12.24 +135.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 5? Yes 20 0.965 $19.30 $12.50 +183.8%
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? Yes 43 0.395 $16.98 $3.22 +23.4%
Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July? Yes 40 0.390 $15.60 $2.80 +21.9%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 6? Yes 41 0.375 $15.38 $3.08 +25.0%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 5? Yes 20 0.750 $15.00 $2.60 +21.0%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C or higher on August 5? Yes 15 1.000 $14.99 $5.99 +66.6%
Will ISM Services PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in July? Yes 40 0.357 $14.30 $5.10 +55.4%
Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 250k and 300k? Yes 20 0.641 $12.82 $7.86 +158.5%
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? Yes 11 0.946 $10.41 $8.98 +627.7%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 6? Yes 41 0.245 $10.04 $1.44 +16.7%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 5? Yes 10 0.985 $9.85 $2.15 +27.9%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 5? Yes 18 0.535 $9.63 $0.63 +7.0%
Allstate (ALL) Q2 property-liability combined ratio <88%? Yes 20 0.455 $9.10 $0.10 +1.1%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 7? Yes 20 0.440 $8.80 $3.40 +63.0%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 7? Yes 20 0.415 $8.30 $2.30 +38.3%