PnL (30d)

+$26,691

Sports · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

$0

no open positions

ROI (30d)

+3.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

56%

4,781W / 3,732L · 2 open

Win Return (30d)

56%

4,781W / 3,732L · 2 open

Trades (30d)

8,515

across 200 markets · ~43 per market

EV / position

+$134.13

avg win $279 · loss $151

Profit Factor

3.65

$36,779 won / $10,087 lost

Reward / Risk

1.85

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$40

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	45.9% 55,804W/65,830L	5138	$1,923,370
₿ Crypto	37.9% 4,867W/7,959L	636	$80,601
⚽ Sports	84.4% 216W/40L	39	$6,051
💵 Economy	100.0% 7W/0L	2	$483

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

17 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 5?	Up	312	0.745	$232.48	$73.33	+46.1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	171	0.855	$146.01	$21.04	+16.8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	46	1.000	$45.62	$21.20	+86.8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	267	0.145	$38.78	$-87.75	-69.4%
Ethereum Up or Down - August 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	43	0.590	$25.49	$5.40	+26.9%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	No	25	0.964	$24.09	$0.84	+3.6%
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?	No	25	0.700	$17.50	$13.50	+337.5%
Ethereum Up or Down - August 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	40	0.395	$15.65	$-0.04	-0.2%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?	Yes	24	0.645	$15.60	$-4.96	-24.1%
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $10B by December 31?	Yes	29	0.505	$14.64	$6.08	+71.1%
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by December 31?	No	17	0.705	$11.98	$4.50	+60.2%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?	No	25	0.215	$5.38	$2.38	+79.2%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	Yes	8	0.625	$5.21	$0.87	+20.2%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?	Yes	10	0.355	$3.55	$-0.15	-4.1%
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31?	Yes	5	0.555	$2.77	$1.98	+246.9%
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by December 31?	Yes	10	0.140	$1.40	$-0.30	-17.6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	44	0.001	$0.02	$-27.61	-99.9%