PnL (30d)

−$9,861

Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$36

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-8.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

40%

8,540W / 12,910L · 54 open

Win Return (30d)

40%

8,589W / 12,910L · 5 open

Trades (30d)

21,504

across 1,250 markets · ~17 per market

EV / position

−$7.93

avg win $32 · loss $39

Profit Factor

0.64

$17,167 won / $27,028 lost

Reward / Risk

0.82

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$8,920

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	45.9% 55,769W/65,747L	5136	$1,923,308
₿ Crypto	38.2% 5,273W/8,546L	715	$83,973
⚽ Sports	83.9% 239W/46L	43	$6,533
💵 Economy	100.0% 7W/0L	2	$483

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

16 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 5?	Up	312	0.685	$213.76	$54.61	+34.3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	151	0.735	$110.66	$34.86	+46.0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	249	0.265	$66.01	$-35.32	-34.9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	67	0.425	$28.35	$-6.85	-19.5%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	No	25	0.964	$24.09	$0.84	+3.6%
Ethereum Up or Down - August 5, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	99	0.215	$21.24	$-19.34	-47.7%
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?	No	25	0.705	$17.62	$13.62	+340.6%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?	Yes	24	0.645	$15.60	$-4.96	-24.1%
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $10B by December 31?	Yes	29	0.505	$14.64	$6.08	+71.1%
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by December 31?	No	17	0.705	$11.98	$4.50	+60.2%
Ethereum Up or Down - August 5, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	8	0.785	$6.65	$1.69	+34.1%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?	No	25	0.215	$5.38	$2.38	+79.2%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	Yes	8	0.630	$5.25	$0.92	+21.1%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?	Yes	10	0.355	$3.55	$-0.15	-4.1%
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31?	Yes	5	0.555	$2.77	$1.98	+246.9%
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by December 31?	Yes	10	0.140	$1.40	$-0.30	-17.6%