PnL (30d)

−$49,431

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$22

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-2.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

46%

55,629W / 65,617L · 88 open

Win Return (30d)

46%

55,646W / 65,640L · 48 open

Trades (30d)

121,334

across 5,107 markets · ~24 per market

EV / position

−$9.71

avg win $67 · loss $79

Profit Factor

0.77

$161,039 won / $210,470 lost

Reward / Risk

0.85

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$13,936

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	45.9% 55,629W/65,617L	5107	$1,919,683
₿ Crypto	38.1% 5,254W/8,536L	707	$83,270
⚽ Sports	83.9% 235W/45L	41	$6,516
💵 Economy	100.0% 7W/0L	2	$483

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

12 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 5?	Up	312	0.670	$209.08	$49.93	+31.4%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	No	25	0.964	$24.09	$0.84	+3.6%
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?	No	25	0.705	$17.62	$13.62	+340.6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	29	0.585	$17.00	$5.09	+42.7%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?	Yes	24	0.645	$15.60	$-4.96	-24.1%
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $10B by December 31?	Yes	29	0.505	$14.64	$6.08	+71.1%
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by December 31?	No	17	0.705	$11.98	$4.50	+60.2%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?	No	25	0.220	$5.50	$2.50	+83.3%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	Yes	8	0.625	$5.21	$0.87	+20.2%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?	Yes	10	0.355	$3.55	$-0.15	-4.1%
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31?	Yes	5	0.565	$2.82	$2.02	+253.1%
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by December 31?	Yes	10	0.140	$1.40	$-0.30	-17.6%