PnL (30d)

+$131

Weather · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

$0

no open positions

ROI (30d)

+17.1%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

38%

66W / 106L

Win Return (30d)

38%

66W / 106L

Trades (30d)

172

across 25 markets · ~7 per market

EV / position

+$5.25

avg win $62 · loss $17

Profit Factor

1.43

$437 won / $305 lost

Reward / Risk

3.68

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$68

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	25.4% 196W/577L	140	$6,938
🏛 Politics	89.5% 17W/2L	13	$249
🎬 Culture	89.5% 17W/2L	13	$249
🌤 Weather	41.5% 39W/55L	9	$487

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	150	0.425	$63.62	$45.14	+244.2%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on August 5?	Yes	42	0.995	$41.36	$26.07	+170.5%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	150	0.255	$38.25	$14.25	+59.4%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	150	0.177	$26.55	$11.55	+77.0%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	100	0.075	$7.50	$-10.25	-57.7%
Will White House post 140-159 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	150	0.005	$0.75	$-0.75	-50.0%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on August 5?	Yes	48	0.005	$0.26	$-11.98	-97.8%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on August 5?	Yes	23	0.001	$0.01	$-5.54	-99.8%