PnL (30d)

−$166

Culture · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$50

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-25.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

21%

31W / 117L · 19 open

Win Return (30d)

22%

36W / 131L

Trades (30d)

167

across 33 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

−$6.37

avg win $23 · loss $20

Profit Factor

0.53

$187 won / $353 lost

Reward / Risk

1.19

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$13

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	25.4% 196W/577L	140	$6,938
🏛 Politics	89.5% 17W/2L	13	$249
🎬 Culture	89.5% 17W/2L	13	$249
🌤 Weather	41.5% 39W/55L	9	$487

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	150	0.455	$68.11	$49.63	+268.5%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on August 5?	Yes	42	0.997	$41.44	$26.15	+171.0%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	150	0.265	$39.75	$15.75	+65.6%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	150	0.186	$27.98	$12.97	+86.5%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	100	0.075	$7.50	$-10.25	-57.7%
Will White House post 140-159 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	150	0.005	$0.75	$-0.75	-50.0%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on August 5?	Yes	48	0.002	$0.07	$-12.17	-99.4%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on August 5?	Yes	23	0.001	$0.01	$-5.54	-99.8%