PnL (30d)

−$477

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$59

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-12.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

25%

196W / 577L · 34 open

Win Return (30d)

25%

205W / 600L · 2 open

Trades (30d)

807

across 140 markets · ~6 per market

EV / position

−$3.69

avg win $41 · loss $19

Profit Factor

0.74

$1,337 won / $1,814 lost

Reward / Risk

2.14

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$178

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	25.4% 196W/577L	140	$6,938
🏛 Politics	89.5% 17W/2L	13	$249
🎬 Culture	89.5% 17W/2L	13	$249
🌤 Weather	41.5% 39W/55L	9	$487

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	150	0.415	$62.13	$43.64	+236.1%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	150	0.245	$36.75	$12.75	+53.1%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on August 5?	Yes	42	0.845	$35.14	$19.85	+129.8%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	150	0.179	$26.93	$11.93	+79.5%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on August 5?	Yes	48	0.160	$7.68	$-4.56	-37.3%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	100	0.075	$7.50	$-10.25	-57.7%
Will White House post 140-159 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	150	0.013	$1.88	$0.38	+25.0%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on August 5?	Yes	23	0.001	$0.01	$-5.54	-99.8%