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Trader leaderboard/zxcursed121

zxcursed121

0x945a49252f772a10c6ddd1d1e1e24ee20438a48c
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$486
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$8
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
53%
11,997W / 10,854L · 236 open
Win Return (30d)
52%
12,026W / 10,944L · 117 open
Trades (30d)
23,087
across 1,548 markets · ~15 per market
EV / position
+$0.32
avg win $3 · loss $2
Profit Factor
1.31
$2,060 won / $1,574 lost
Reward / Risk
1.52
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$79
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $693,644 · all-time $24,647,010

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 53.8% 114,785W/98,694L 10908 $885,234
⚽ Sports 50.1% 12,584W/12,516L 1129 $105,550
🌤 Weather 45.0% 2,151W/2,632L 389 $14,743
🏛 Politics 53.2% 1,023W/899L 151 $10,454
💵 Economy 24.1% 40W/126L 77 $2,353
🎬 Culture 35.1% 449W/829L 58 $5,529
₿ Crypto 70.9% 210W/86L 54 $1,935
🤖 Tech 100.0% 52W/0L 11 $304
🔬 Science 4 $32

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

193 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? No 1,617 0.560 $905.72 $49.99 +5.8%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? Yes 1,628 0.440 $716.46 $-22.21 -3.0%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 5? Up 952 0.610 $580.87 $-77.58 -11.8%
Counter-Strike: GamersLab Esports vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #1 Group Stage GamersLab Esports 593 0.695 $412.21 $146.56 +55.2%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 5? Down 952 0.390 $371.38 $70.91 +23.6%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 5? Yes 334 0.999 $333.78 $150.52 +82.1%
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Liquid - Map 1 Winner Liquid 311 1.000 $310.80 $69.92 +29.0%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? Yes 307 1.000 $306.85 $34.56 +12.7%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 5? No 306 1.000 $305.58 $145.79 +91.2%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? Yes 426 0.710 $302.66 $4.37 +1.5%
LoL: Esprit Shōnen vs Joblife (BO1) - LFL Regular Season Joblife 302 0.995 $300.72 $112.68 +59.9%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? Yes 300 1.000 $299.93 $207.16 +223.3%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 5? Yes 292 1.000 $291.81 $155.28 +113.7%
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects - Map 2 Winner Nuclear TigeRES 275 1.000 $275.06 $103.16 +60.0%
T20 Lanka Premier League: Colombo Kaps vs Kandy Royals Colombo Kaps 270 1.000 $269.38 $92.55 +52.3%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 5? No 257 1.000 $256.77 $91.21 +55.1%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 5? No 256 1.000 $255.68 $71.56 +38.9%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on August 5? Yes 244 1.000 $243.84 $61.91 +34.0%
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 5? Yes 223 1.000 $223.20 $69.86 +45.6%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 5? No 210 1.000 $209.91 $29.78 +16.5%
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Galions (BO1) - LFL Regular Season Galions 208 1.000 $208.36 $37.52 +22.0%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 5? No 196 1.000 $196.18 $103.53 +111.8%
LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group A E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 193 1.000 $192.43 $41.50 +27.5%
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs Nuclear TigeRES 190 1.000 $189.92 $27.36 +16.8%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 5? Yes 187 1.000 $186.84 $83.03 +80.0%