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Trader leaderboard/zxcursed121

zxcursed121

0x945a49252f772a10c6ddd1d1e1e24ee20438a48c
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$37
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$82
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
50%
2,114W / 2,156L · 1,571 open
Win Return (30d)
51%
2,944W / 2,844L · 53 open
Trades (30d)
5,841
across 318 markets · ~18 per market
EV / position
−$0.26
avg win $4 · loss $3
Profit Factor
0.86
$234 won / $271 lost
Reward / Risk
1.19
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$41
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $674,593 · all-time $24,620,072

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 53.8% 113,963W/97,912L 10907 $885,229
⚽ Sports 50.1% 12,584W/12,516L 1129 $105,550
🌤 Weather 46.5% 2,104W/2,425L 388 $14,738
🏛 Politics 49.4% 879W/899L 151 $10,454
💵 Economy 24.1% 40W/126L 77 $2,353
🎬 Culture 35.1% 449W/829L 58 $5,529
₿ Crypto 70.9% 210W/86L 54 $1,935
🤖 Tech 100.0% 52W/0L 11 $304
🔬 Science 4 $32

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

198 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winner PlayTime 827 1.000 $826.39 $488.95 +144.9%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? No 1,312 0.580 $761.08 $75.31 +11.0%
T20 Lanka Premier League: Jaffna Kings vs Galle Gallants Jaffna Kings 597 1.000 $596.27 $149.91 +33.6%
Counter-Strike: Arcade Esports vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #6 Group B Abyssal 562 1.000 $562.05 $297.93 +112.8%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? Yes 1,317 0.420 $552.99 $-51.60 -8.5%
Valorant: TEC Esports vs KeepBest Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Play-Ins TEC Esports 533 1.000 $532.99 $258.00 +93.8%
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? Yes 484 0.996 $482.05 $89.51 +22.8%
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs INOX Division - Map 2 Winner INOX Division 447 1.000 $446.72 $225.06 +101.5%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 5? Up 479 0.825 $394.92 $34.57 +9.6%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 5? Yes 377 1.000 $376.92 $117.46 +45.3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 5? Yes 411 0.895 $367.85 $100.04 +37.4%
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? No 348 0.996 $346.43 $76.03 +28.1%
Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs Rune Eaters - Map 2 Winner Butterfly 345 1.000 $344.84 $131.18 +61.4%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group Gen.G 341 1.000 $341.15 $127.16 +59.4%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 5? Yes 333 1.000 $332.74 $107.29 +47.6%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 5? No 322 1.000 $321.58 $68.26 +26.9%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Gen.G 314 1.000 $313.37 $107.35 +52.1%
Valorant: TEC Esports vs KeepBest Gaming - Map 2 Winner TEC Esports 308 1.000 $307.73 $163.23 +113.0%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 5? No 306 1.000 $305.58 $145.79 +91.2%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 5? Yes 302 1.000 $301.57 $138.50 +84.9%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? Yes 300 1.000 $299.93 $207.16 +223.3%
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yakult Brothers (BO5) - Games of the Future Playoffs PlayTime 307 0.900 $276.69 $83.60 +43.3%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? Yes 262 0.991 $259.32 $31.61 +13.9%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 5? No 256 1.000 $255.68 $71.56 +38.9%
Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Playoffs Butterfly 244 1.000 $243.93 $54.53 +28.8%