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Trader leaderboard/zxcursed121

zxcursed121

0x945a49252f772a10c6ddd1d1e1e24ee20438a48c
Scoped to Science — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$45
Science · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$6
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+10.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
63%
63W / 37L · 18 open
Win Return (30d)
62%
73W / 45L
Trades (30d)
118
across 12 markets · ~10 per market
EV / position
+$8.90
avg win $16 · loss $2
Profit Factor
11.43
$49 won / $4 lost
Reward / Risk
7.62
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $688,374 · all-time $24,634,446

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 53.8% 114,220W/98,010L 10907 $885,229
⚽ Sports 50.1% 12,584W/12,516L 1129 $105,550
🌤 Weather 46.6% 2,125W/2,431L 388 $14,738
🏛 Politics 49.4% 879W/899L 151 $10,454
💵 Economy 24.1% 40W/126L 77 $2,353
🎬 Culture 35.1% 449W/829L 58 $5,529
₿ Crypto 70.9% 210W/86L 54 $1,935
🤖 Tech 100.0% 52W/0L 11 $304
🔬 Science 4 $32

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

195 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? No 1,504 0.575 $864.16 $71.68 +9.0%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? Yes 1,509 0.425 $642.28 $-44.51 -6.5%
Valorant: TEC Esports vs KeepBest Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Play-Ins TEC Esports 533 1.000 $532.99 $258.00 +93.8%
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? Yes 484 1.000 $483.99 $91.45 +23.3%
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs INOX Division - Map 2 Winner INOX Division 447 1.000 $446.72 $225.06 +101.5%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 5? Down 814 0.525 $427.20 $194.50 +83.6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 5? Yes 411 1.000 $410.80 $142.99 +53.4%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 5? Up 821 0.475 $389.90 $-198.43 -33.7%
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yakult Brothers - Game 3 Winner PlayTime 386 1.000 $385.63 $201.74 +109.7%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 5? Yes 377 1.000 $376.92 $117.46 +45.3%
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? No 348 1.000 $347.83 $77.42 +28.6%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group Gen.G 341 1.000 $341.15 $127.16 +59.4%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 5? Yes 333 1.000 $332.74 $107.29 +47.6%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 5? Yes 334 0.995 $332.61 $149.35 +81.5%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 5? No 322 1.000 $321.58 $68.26 +26.9%
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yakult Brothers (BO5) - Games of the Future Playoffs PlayTime 307 1.000 $307.28 $114.19 +59.1%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? Yes 307 1.000 $306.85 $34.56 +12.7%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 5? No 306 1.000 $305.58 $145.79 +91.2%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? Yes 300 1.000 $299.93 $207.16 +223.3%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 5? Yes 292 1.000 $291.81 $155.28 +113.7%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? Yes 388 0.705 $273.72 $2.10 +0.8%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 5? No 257 0.996 $255.74 $90.18 +54.5%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 5? No 256 1.000 $255.68 $71.56 +38.9%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on August 5? Yes 244 0.975 $237.86 $55.94 +30.7%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs Team Liquid 226 1.000 $225.76 $63.53 +39.2%