| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
No |
7,292 |
0.715 |
$5,213.44 |
$776.23 |
+17.5% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
5,254 |
0.675 |
$3,546.70 |
$406.71 |
+13.0% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15? |
No |
3,736 |
0.945 |
$3,530.51 |
$315.80 |
+9.8% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
3,705 |
0.560 |
$2,074.79 |
$364.86 |
+21.3% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
Yes |
2,564 |
0.770 |
$1,974.34 |
$-4.36 |
-0.2% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31? |
No |
1,619 |
0.885 |
$1,432.92 |
$56.67 |
+4.1% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
2,627 |
0.517 |
$1,359.46 |
$703.76 |
+107.3% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
3,693 |
0.265 |
$978.60 |
$350.22 |
+55.7% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? |
Yes |
988 |
0.955 |
$943.45 |
$14.82 |
+1.6% |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
2,718 |
0.277 |
$751.65 |
$-61.69 |
-7.6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
4,000 |
0.165 |
$660.00 |
$140.00 |
+26.9% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? |
No |
705 |
0.875 |
$616.56 |
$33.42 |
+5.7% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
No |
2,185 |
0.275 |
$600.78 |
$-620.42 |
-50.8% |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? |
No |
654 |
0.910 |
$594.98 |
$6.68 |
+1.1% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
770 |
0.725 |
$558.12 |
$9.01 |
+1.6% |
| Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? |
No |
731 |
0.670 |
$490.10 |
$-6.68 |
-1.3% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
3,976 |
0.115 |
$457.21 |
$-0.84 |
-0.2% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.225 |
$450.00 |
$-129.72 |
-22.4% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
Yes |
364 |
0.905 |
$329.78 |
$134.40 |
+68.8% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.155 |
$310.00 |
$-70.00 |
-18.4% |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? |
No |
406 |
0.685 |
$278.12 |
$95.41 |
+52.2% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,060 |
0.245 |
$259.73 |
$-153.72 |
-37.2% |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31? |
Yes |
256 |
0.705 |
$180.39 |
$96.09 |
+114.0% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
200 |
0.440 |
$88.00 |
$-14.00 |
-13.7% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? |
No |
2,000 |
0.043 |
$86.80 |
$4.80 |
+5.9% |