PnL (30d)

+$55

Weather · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$1

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+228.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

65%

100W / 54L · 11 open

Win Return (30d)

61%

100W / 65L

Trades (30d)

165

across 25 markets · ~7 per market

EV / position

+$2.31

avg win $5 · loss $0

Profit Factor

13.33

$60 won / $4 lost

Reward / Risk

11.28

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$0

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	47.7% 979W/1,073L	876	$967
⚽ Sports	31.3% 21W/46L	28	$28
🎬 Culture	46.2% 6W/7L	9	$19
₿ Crypto	28.6% 2W/5L	8	$6
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/4L	5	$4
🌤 Weather	33.3% 4W/8L	3	$8
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/1L	2	$4
🔬 Science	—	1	$2

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

42 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
ECS England: Sharks Cricket Academy vs Apex CC - Who wins the toss?	Sharks Cricket Academy	156	0.495	$77.22	$75.66	+4850.0%
Will Fabiano Caruana finish in the Top 5 of Titled Tuesday on August 11?	Yes	60	0.495	$29.79	$27.99	+1550.0%
Montevideo City Torque vs. Montevideo Wanderers: O/U 4.5	Over	55	0.500	$27.50	$26.95	+4900.0%
Montevideo City Torque vs. Montevideo Wanderers: O/U 3.5	Over	55	0.500	$27.50	$26.95	+4900.0%
Montevideo City Torque vs. Montevideo Wanderers: O/U 5.5	Over	55	0.500	$27.50	$26.95	+4900.0%
Will Levon Aronian finish in the Top 5 of Titled Tuesday on August 11?	Yes	47	0.460	$21.70	$20.28	+1433.3%
Montevideo City Torque vs. Montevideo Wanderers: O/U 2.5	Over	35	0.500	$17.70	$17.14	+3072.2%
Montevideo City Torque vs. Montevideo Wanderers: Both Teams to Score	Yes	10	0.500	$5.05	$4.95	+4899.9%
Montevideo City Torque vs. Montevideo Wanderers: O/U 1.5	Under	10	0.500	$5.05	$4.95	+4900.0%
Exact Score: Juventus FC 2 - 3 SC União Torreense?	Yes	11	0.239	$2.63	$2.51	+2072.6%
Montevideo City Torque vs. Montevideo Wanderers: O/U 0.5	Under	5	0.500	$2.52	$2.47	+4900.0%
Will Donald Trump's tie be red?	Yes	5	0.260	$1.30	$1.15	+766.7%
Exact Score: Juventus FC 0 - 2 SC União Torreense?	Yes	11	0.086	$0.94	$0.82	+677.2%
Will Solana reach $100 August 3-9?	Yes	85	0.010	$0.85	$0.17	+25.0%
Will Angela Murray be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 4)?	Yes	41	0.019	$0.80	$-0.02	-2.5%
Romanian parliament dissolved by August 31?	Yes	6	0.105	$0.66	$0.28	+75.0%
Will Taylor Brown be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 4)?	Yes	48	0.013	$0.65	$-0.31	-32.5%
Will Dee Valladares be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 4)?	Yes	29	0.016	$0.46	$-0.41	-46.7%
Will Barrett Pfeiffer be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 4)?	Yes	29	0.016	$0.46	$-0.41	-46.7%
Will LaTrice Verrett be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 4)?	Yes	32	0.013	$0.43	$-0.38	-46.6%
Will Rick Devens be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 4)?	Yes	69	0.006	$0.41	$-0.86	-67.6%
Will Solana dip to $50 August 3-9?	Yes	85	0.004	$0.38	$-0.30	-43.7%
Will Trump say "Trump Account" this week?	No	1	0.365	$0.37	$0.35	+1724.3%
Will Mallory Aurichio be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 4)?	Yes	23	0.016	$0.36	$-0.32	-46.7%
Will Solana reach $80 August 3-9?	Yes	3	0.075	$0.21	$0.12	+150.0%