PnL (30d)

+$3

Economy · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$1

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

—

no reliable basis

Win Resolved (30d)

20%

2W / 8L · 11 open

Win Return (30d)

53%

10W / 9L · 2 open

Trades (30d)

21

across 13 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

+$0.40

avg win $5 · loss $0

Profit Factor

2.46

$5 won / $2 lost

Reward / Risk

14.75

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$1

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	47.7% 979W/1,073L	876	$967
⚽ Sports	31.3% 21W/46L	28	$28
🎬 Culture	46.2% 6W/7L	9	$19
₿ Crypto	28.6% 2W/5L	8	$6
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/4L	5	$4
🌤 Weather	33.3% 4W/8L	3	$8
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/1L	2	$4
🔬 Science	—	1	$2

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

41 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
ECS England: Sharks Cricket Academy vs Apex CC - Who wins the toss?	Sharks Cricket Academy	156	0.495	$77.22	$75.66	+4850.0%
Will Fabiano Caruana finish in the Top 5 of Titled Tuesday on August 11?	Yes	60	0.495	$29.79	$27.99	+1550.0%
Montevideo City Torque vs. Montevideo Wanderers: O/U 5.5	Over	55	0.505	$27.77	$27.23	+4950.0%
Montevideo City Torque vs. Montevideo Wanderers: O/U 4.5	Over	55	0.500	$27.50	$26.95	+4900.0%
Montevideo City Torque vs. Montevideo Wanderers: O/U 3.5	Over	55	0.500	$27.50	$26.95	+4900.0%
Will Levon Aronian finish in the Top 5 of Titled Tuesday on August 11?	Yes	47	0.465	$21.93	$20.52	+1450.0%
Montevideo City Torque vs. Montevideo Wanderers: O/U 2.5	Over	35	0.500	$17.70	$17.14	+3072.2%
Montevideo City Torque vs. Montevideo Wanderers: Both Teams to Score	Yes	10	0.500	$5.05	$4.95	+4899.9%
Montevideo City Torque vs. Montevideo Wanderers: O/U 1.5	Under	10	0.500	$5.05	$4.95	+4900.0%
Will Mallory Aurichio be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 4)?	Yes	23	0.121	$2.76	$2.07	+303.3%
Montevideo City Torque vs. Montevideo Wanderers: O/U 0.5	Under	5	0.500	$2.52	$2.47	+4900.0%
Will Donald Trump's tie be red?	Yes	5	0.315	$1.57	$1.42	+950.0%
Will Solana reach $100 August 3-9?	Yes	85	0.013	$1.15	$0.47	+68.7%
Will Angela Murray be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 4)?	Yes	41	0.019	$0.80	$-0.02	-2.5%
Romanian parliament dissolved by August 31?	Yes	6	0.105	$0.66	$0.28	+75.0%
Will Taylor Brown be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 4)?	Yes	48	0.013	$0.65	$-0.31	-32.5%
Will Solana dip to $50 August 3-9?	Yes	85	0.007	$0.59	$-0.09	-12.5%
Will LaTrice Verrett be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 4)?	Yes	32	0.016	$0.51	$-0.30	-36.7%
Will Dee Valladares be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 4)?	Yes	29	0.018	$0.51	$-0.36	-41.7%
Will Barrett Pfeiffer be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 4)?	Yes	29	0.016	$0.46	$-0.41	-46.7%
Will Rick Devens be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 4)?	Yes	69	0.006	$0.41	$-0.86	-67.6%
Will Trump say "Trump Account" this week?	No	1	0.380	$0.39	$0.37	+1799.3%
Will Solana reach $80 August 3-9?	Yes	3	0.075	$0.21	$0.12	+150.0%
Will Kamu Kirk be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 4)?	Yes	12	0.017	$0.19	$-0.05	-21.4%
Will Yash Patel be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 4)?	Yes	15	0.011	$0.16	$-0.15	-47.5%