PnL (30d)

+$26

Culture · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$3

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+211.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

47%

49W / 56L · 4 open

Win Return (30d)

48%

51W / 56L · 2 open

Trades (30d)

109

across 56 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

+$0.48

avg win $2 · loss $0

Profit Factor

4.46

$33 won / $7 lost

Reward / Risk

11.60

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$1

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	47.7% 979W/1,073L	876	$967
⚽ Sports	31.3% 21W/46L	28	$28
🎬 Culture	42.9% 6W/8L	10	$20
₿ Crypto	28.6% 2W/5L	8	$6
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/4L	5	$4
🌤 Weather	30.8% 4W/9L	4	$8
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/1L	2	$4
🔬 Science	—	1	$2

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

35 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Solana reach $100 August 3-9?	Yes	85	0.476	$40.51	$39.83	+5856.2%
Montevideo City Torque vs. Montevideo Wanderers: O/U 4.5	Over	55	0.500	$27.50	$26.95	+4900.0%
Montevideo City Torque vs. Montevideo Wanderers: O/U 3.5	Over	55	0.500	$27.50	$26.95	+4900.0%
Montevideo City Torque vs. Montevideo Wanderers: O/U 5.5	Over	55	0.500	$27.50	$26.95	+4900.0%
Montevideo City Torque vs. Montevideo Wanderers: O/U 2.5	Over	35	0.500	$17.70	$17.14	+3072.2%
Montevideo City Torque vs. Montevideo Wanderers: Both Teams to Score	Yes	10	0.500	$5.05	$4.95	+4899.9%
Montevideo City Torque vs. Montevideo Wanderers: O/U 1.5	Under	10	0.500	$5.05	$4.95	+4900.0%
Montevideo City Torque vs. Montevideo Wanderers: O/U 0.5	Under	5	0.500	$2.52	$2.47	+4900.0%
Exact Score: CA Platense 3 - 0 CA Boca Juniors?	Yes	9	0.255	$2.29	$2.11	+1174.9%
Will Solana dip to $50 August 3-9?	Yes	85	0.022	$1.91	$1.23	+181.2%
Will Angela Murray be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 4)?	Yes	41	0.019	$0.78	$-0.04	-5.0%
Romanian parliament dissolved by August 31?	Yes	6	0.105	$0.66	$0.28	+75.0%
Will Taylor Brown be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 4)?	Yes	48	0.013	$0.65	$-0.31	-32.5%
Will Dee Valladares be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 4)?	Yes	29	0.021	$0.62	$-0.25	-28.7%
Will Barrett Pfeiffer be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 4)?	Yes	29	0.019	$0.57	$-0.30	-35.0%
Will LaTrice Verrett be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 4)?	Yes	32	0.014	$0.45	$-0.36	-44.6%
Will Rick Devens be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 4)?	Yes	69	0.006	$0.41	$-0.86	-67.6%
Will Trump say "Trump Account" this week?	No	1	0.375	$0.38	$0.36	+1774.3%
Will Mallory Aurichio be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 4)?	Yes	23	0.015	$0.35	$-0.33	-48.3%
Will Solana reach $80 August 3-9?	Yes	3	0.115	$0.33	$0.24	+283.3%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 6?	Yes	8	0.034	$0.27	$0.11	+70.0%
Will Yash Patel be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 4)?	Yes	15	0.014	$0.21	$-0.09	-30.0%
Will MiniMax have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of August 2026?	Yes	31	0.005	$0.17	$0.02	+12.8%
Will Donald Trump's tie be yellow?	Yes	8	0.015	$0.12	$-0.12	-48.4%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 6?	Yes	27	0.003	$0.08	$-0.19	-70.0%