pmwatcher
0x90bfc858ddb497e6208a92dce15cfe9a480d3348
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$8,696
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$520
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-23.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
0%
0W / 98L · 76 open
Win Return (30d)
28%
49W / 123L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
174
across 9 markets · ~19 per market
EV / position
−$1,449.40
· loss $1,449
Profit Factor
0.00
$0 won / $8,696 lost
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
−$7,230
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $60,151 · all-time $6,306,981
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
No |
20,000 |
0.405 |
$8,100.00 |
$600.02 |
+8.0% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
3,000 |
0.830 |
$2,490.00 |
$880.00 |
+54.7% |
| Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.105 |
$210.00 |
$20.00 |
+10.5% |
| Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? |
Yes |
1,909 |
0.038 |
$73.51 |
$0.95 |
+1.3% |