pmwatcher
0x90bfc858ddb497e6208a92dce15cfe9a480d3348
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$55
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
+37.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
86%
6W / 1L
Win Return (30d)
86%
6W / 1L
Trades (30d)
7
across 2 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$27.50
avg win $100 · loss $45
Profit Factor
2.22
$100 won / $45 lost
Reward / Risk
2.22
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$45
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $60,071 · all-time $6,306,901
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
No |
20,000 |
0.365 |
$7,300.00 |
$-199.98 |
-2.7% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
3,000 |
0.805 |
$2,415.00 |
$805.00 |
+50.0% |
| Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.105 |
$210.00 |
$20.00 |
+10.5% |
| Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? |
Yes |
1,829 |
0.039 |
$71.34 |
$1.83 |
+2.6% |