pmwatcher
0x90bfc858ddb497e6208a92dce15cfe9a480d3348
PnL (30d)
−$61,821
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$348
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-69.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
13%
95W / 640L · 174 open
Win Return (30d)
24%
220W / 679L · 10 open
Trades (30d)
909
across 64 markets · ~14 per market
EV / position
−$1,188.87
avg win $585 · loss $1,843
Profit Factor
0.12
$8,194 won / $70,016 lost
Reward / Risk
0.32
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$10,453
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $60,057 · all-time $6,306,887
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
No |
20,000 |
0.375 |
$7,500.00 |
$0.02 |
+0.0% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
3,000 |
0.785 |
$2,355.00 |
$745.00 |
+46.3% |
| Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.105 |
$210.00 |
$20.00 |
+10.5% |
| Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? |
Yes |
1,815 |
0.039 |
$70.79 |
$1.82 |
+2.6% |