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Trader leaderboard/amused85

amused85

0x8fe70c889ce14f67acea5d597e3d0351d73b4f20
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$0
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$82
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
no 30d activity
Win Return (30d)
33%
3W / 6L
Trades (30d)
9
across 7 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
no settled positions
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $29,326 · all-time $20,508,693

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 36.4% 170W/297L 201 $85,487
⚽ Sports 24.4% 11W/34L 24 $10,892
₿ Crypto 28.6% 2W/5L 6 $4,713
🏛 Politics 4 $913
💵 Economy 3 $420
🤖 Tech 1 $287
🌤 Weather 1 $0
🔬 Science 1 $0

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

19 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes 10,000 0.250 $2,500.00 $1,000.00 +66.7%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? No 4,868 0.325 $1,582.05 $-95.04 -5.7%
NATO article 5 before 2027? Yes 11,690 0.070 $818.30 $-830.94 -50.4%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes 3,365 0.115 $386.95 $117.77 +43.7%
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes 4,192 0.088 $370.99 $-196.94 -34.7%
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? Yes 4,613 0.075 $346.00 $-249.18 -41.9%
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? Yes 1,000 0.175 $175.00 $26.94 +18.2%
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No 2,470 0.070 $171.66 $-389.98 -69.4%
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? No 4,929 0.023 $113.36 $-93.92 -45.3%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? Yes 3,092 0.033 $100.48 $-186.59 -65.0%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 6,803 0.015 $98.64 $-101.35 -50.7%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 9,000 0.009 $85.50 $-40.50 -32.1%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? Yes 1,000 0.080 $80.00 $-7.25 -8.3%
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? Yes 1,208 0.043 $51.35 $-373.26 -87.9%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? Yes 1,500 0.034 $51.01 $-39.01 -43.3%
Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes 2,071 0.011 $23.82 $-158.95 -87.0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in August? Yes 1,500 0.014 $21.00 $-63.20 -75.1%
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes 316 0.052 $16.42 $-34.21 -67.6%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August? Yes 1,000 0.015 $15.00 $-33.83 -69.3%