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Trader leaderboard/amused85

amused85

0x8fe70c889ce14f67acea5d597e3d0351d73b4f20
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$1,117
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$237
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+9.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
11%
7W / 58L · 5 open
Win Return (30d)
10%
7W / 63L
Trades (30d)
70
across 27 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$48.55
avg win $2,300 · loss $425
Profit Factor
1.14
$9,200 won / $8,084 lost
Reward / Risk
5.41
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$1,013
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $31,326 · all-time $20,510,693

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 36.4% 170W/297L 204 $85,894
⚽ Sports 24.4% 11W/34L 24 $10,892
₿ Crypto 28.6% 2W/5L 8 $4,930
💵 Economy 4 $507
🏛 Politics 4 $913
🤖 Tech 1 $287
🌤 Weather 1 $0
🔬 Science 1 $0

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

21 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes 10,000 0.245 $2,450.00 $950.00 +63.3%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? No 4,868 0.325 $1,582.05 $-95.04 -5.7%
NATO article 5 before 2027? Yes 11,690 0.065 $759.85 $-889.39 -53.9%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes 3,365 0.115 $386.95 $117.77 +43.7%
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes 4,192 0.090 $379.37 $-188.56 -33.2%
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? Yes 4,613 0.075 $346.00 $-249.18 -41.9%
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No 2,470 0.070 $171.66 $-389.98 -69.4%
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? Yes 1,000 0.165 $165.00 $16.94 +11.4%
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? No 4,929 0.023 $113.36 $-93.92 -45.3%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? Yes 3,092 0.035 $106.67 $-180.40 -62.8%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 6,803 0.014 $95.24 $-104.75 -52.4%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 9,000 0.009 $85.50 $-40.50 -32.1%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? Yes 1,000 0.075 $75.00 $-12.25 -14.0%
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? Yes 1,208 0.043 $51.35 $-373.26 -87.9%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? Yes 1,500 0.028 $41.26 $-48.76 -54.2%
Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes 2,071 0.011 $23.82 $-158.95 -87.0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in August? Yes 1,500 0.013 $19.50 $-64.70 -76.8%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August? Yes 1,000 0.016 $16.00 $-32.83 -67.2%
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes 316 0.049 $15.32 $-35.31 -69.7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 5? No 1,000 0.001 $0.50 $-189.50 -99.7%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on August 5? No 1,000 0.001 $0.50 $-129.50 -99.6%